Fever vs Mystics Picks and Predictions — September 7, 2025
The Indiana Fever travel to Baltimore to face the Washington Mystics on Sunday in a matchup that looked like a playoff decider a month ago. Instead, Washington has collapsed out of contention while Indiana looks to lock down back-to-back postseason berths for the first time in nearly a decade.
Originally slated for Washington, the game was moved to a larger Baltimore arena to accommodate fan demand for Caitlin Clark. But with Clark sidelined for the season due to a groin injury, the Fever will lean on Kelsey Mitchell to continue their playoff push.
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Mystics Can Win If…
Washington has dropped eight straight games and been eliminated from playoff contention. During this skid, the Mystics are averaging only 70 points per game, with five of those losses by double digits. Their focus has shifted toward developing their young core for 2026.
Veteran Alysha Clark stressed patience amid the rebuild:
“This is the best league in the world, you’re going to lose some. But it’s a process … building for the future in that way.”
If Sonia Citron, their top scorer against Indiana this season (15.7 ppg), can get rolling, Washington may play spoiler.
Fever Can Win If…
Indiana has steadied its defense after a shaky mid-August stretch, allowing just 77.4 points per game in its last five contests. With Kelsey Mitchell heating up—scoring 20 and 29 points in her last two outings—the Fever have the offensive punch to secure another win.
Head coach Stephanie White is keeping her team focused:
“Right now we’re hungry for more.”
If Mitchell stays efficient and the Fever continue to clamp down defensively, Indiana can clinch its playoff spot and avenge two earlier losses to Washington.
Key WNBA Betting Trends
Category | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics |
---|---|---|
Record | 22-20 (7th seed) | 16-26 (eliminated) |
Last 5 Games | 3-2 | 0-5 |
PPG Scored | 80.4 | 76.1 |
PPG Allowed | 79.8 | 82.7 |
Season Series 2025 | 1-2 vs Mystics | 2-1 vs Fever |
The Lean
Model Projection: Fever 84, Mystics 76
Pick: Fever Moneyline
Total Lean: Over 158
Washington’s struggles on both ends make this a tough matchup, even at home. Indiana has rediscovered its defensive identity, and with Mitchell locked in, the Fever should prevail in a higher-scoring contest. For more expert breakdowns, visit our WNBA Betting Predictions hub.
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