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Indiana Fever

WNBA5 predictions

No WNBA team scored more in 2026 than the Fever, at 95.95 points a game, and their games beat the total 26 times in 44. As favorites they covered 19 times in 35, a rate only two teams topped.

Watch the total

The first thing we look at in a Fever game is the total. Indiana scored 95.95 a game and allowed 90.43. Their games went over 26 times and under 18. The Chicago Sky and the Toronto Tempo had the same over count. Nobody had more.

The Fever 2026 regular season, game by game2026-05-09 v Dallas Wings 104-1072026-05-13 at Los Angeles Sparks 87-782026-05-15 v Washington Mystics 102-1042026-05-17 v Seattle Storm 89-782026-05-20 v Portland Fire 90-732026-05-22 v Golden State Valkyries 90-822026-05-28 at Golden State Valkyries 88-902026-05-30 at Portland Fire 84-1002026-06-04 v Atlanta Dream 83-712026-06-06 at New York Liberty 75-832026-06-08 at Washington Mystics 78-762026-06-11 v Chicago Sky 114-1062026-06-13 at Connecticut Sun 85-752026-06-16 v Toronto Tempo 113-912026-06-18 v Atlanta Dream 101-1082026-06-20 at Atlanta Dream 96-1132026-06-22 v Phoenix Mercury 86-772026-06-24 v Phoenix Mercury 109-1112026-06-27 v Los Angeles Sparks 111-872026-07-05 at Las Vegas Aces 84-682026-07-08 at Los Angeles Sparks 92-1062026-07-09 at Phoenix Mercury 92-892026-07-12 at Las Vegas Aces 109-752026-07-15 v Golden State Valkyries 75-882026-07-17 v Seattle Storm 110-1072026-07-18 v New York Liberty 108-882026-07-22 v Connecticut Sun 123-882026-07-28 at Seattle Storm 105-952026-07-31 at Portland Fire 112-982026-08-02 at Minnesota Lynx 100-1082026-08-06 v Las Vegas Aces 84-862026-08-08 at Chicago Sky 90-862026-08-11 v New York Liberty 106-922026-08-14 v Dallas Wings 98-872026-08-16 at Atlanta Dream 95-912026-08-18 at Toronto Tempo 101-952026-08-20 at Dallas Wings 85-912026-08-22 at New York Liberty 102-1092026-08-23 at Chicago Sky 113-902026-08-28 v Connecticut Sun 111-912026-09-18 at Toronto Tempo 103-852026-09-20 v Washington Mystics 77-932026-09-22 v Minnesota Lynx 96-772026-09-24 at Minnesota Lynx 66-86Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
28-16 in 44 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Four Fever games went to overtime, and they split them 2-2.

Favorites who cover

Indiana were favorites 35 times. They won 25 and covered 19, 54.3%. Only the Golden State Valkyries and the Las Vegas Aces covered more often as favorites. Getting points it fell away: 3-6 as underdogs, with 4 covers in 9.

Home and away barely differed. They went 15-7 in Indiana with 12 covers, and 13-9 away with 11.

The Fever at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (22)won 15 (68.2%)covered 12 of 22 (54.5%)Away (22)won 13 (59.1%)covered 11 of 22 (50.0%)Favorite (35)won 25 (71.4%)covered 19 of 35 (54.3%)Underdog (9)won 3 (33.3%)covered 4 of 9 (44.4%)50%
2026 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

July turned it

A unit on Indiana in each of the 44 games lost 1.72 units. July is where it turned. They went 8-2 that month and made 3.84 units, with two wins in Las Vegas: 84-68 at +130 on 5 July and 109-75 at +170 on 12 July. May cost 2.28 units on a 4-4 start.

The short prices that went wrong were close at home and wide away. The Washington Mystics won 104-102 in overtime in Indiana at -395, and the Phoenix Mercury 111-109 there at the same price. The shortest of all was -550: 100-84 at the Portland Fire on 30 May.

One unit on the Fever to win, every game0-3-2-1-1.72 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 44 priced 2026 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Opponents

Washington is the team we would hesitate on. Indiana went 1-2 against them, did not cover once, and lost 1.56 units backing the Fever to win. The Connecticut Sun were the opposite: three wins, three covers. Against the Aces they went 2-1 and made 2.0 units. Four games each with the Atlanta Dream and the New York Liberty finished 2-2 straight up and 2-2 on the spread.

Questions and answers

Are Fever games a lean to the over?

Yes in 2026: 26 overs and 18 unders, a count Chicago and Toronto matched and nobody topped.

How did the Fever do against the spread when favored?

19 covers in 35 games, 54.3%, third in the league.

Which month made money backing the Fever to win?

July: 8-2 and 3.84 units, against 1.72 units lost over the full season.

Past games

  1. Fever at Aces · 1 OctMy number is Indiana by 0.15 and the market has the Aces by 4.5.
  2. Aces at Fever · 29 SepIndiana wins its home games against winning teams by 3.4 points; Las Vegas loses its road games against them by 6.1.
  3. Fever at Aces · 27 SepMy number makes this a coin flip: Indiana by 0.15.
  4. Fever at Lynx · 24 SepIn Minneapolis the numbers turn toward Minnesota.
  5. Lynx at Fever · 22 SepThis game is a coin flip and Indiana is getting points.

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