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Portland Fire

WNBA1 prediction

The Fire won 17 of 44 games in 2026, and backing them to win in each made 16.14 units, more than on any WNBA team except Washington. At home that bet made 7.45, the best home return in the league.

The number

16.14 units on 44 games, a 36.7% return. The 37 games as underdogs, tied with Toronto for the third-most in the league, produced 16.92 of it on a 13-24 record. As favorites, 7 games, the return was -0.78 units; the shortest price they lost at was -180, 78-72 at home to Phoenix on 5 June. As underdogs they covered 19 of 37. Only the Washington Mystics made more for a bettor backing them to win. Home games returned 7.45 units, away games 8.69.

One unit on the Fire to win, every game0+5+10+15+16.14 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 44 priced 2026 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Where it came from

Three prices. On 12 May Portland beat the New York Liberty 98-96 at home at +575. On 28 August they won 101-83 at the Atlanta Dream at +575. On 22 September they beat the Golden State Valkyries 90-82 in overtime at home at +600. Those three wins returned 17.5 units, more than the season’s total.

By month: May 6-4 and 12.11 units; June 2-8 and 6.04 units given back; July 3-6 and 2.94 units, with 6 covers in 9; August 5-6 and 4.13; September 1-3 and 3.0.

Against the spread

22 covers, 22 misses. Home 12 of 22, away 10 of 22. The value on this team was in the price, not the points. On 28 June they took Washington to four overtimes and lost 124-123 as +225 underdogs, a cover.

The Fire at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (22)won 9 (40.9%)covered 12 of 22 (54.5%)Away (22)won 8 (36.4%)covered 10 of 22 (45.5%)Favorite (7)won 4 (57.1%)covered 3 of 7 (42.9%)Underdog (37)won 13 (35.1%)covered 19 of 37 (51.4%)50%
2026 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Opponents

Atlanta: 2-1 and 10.0 units from three games, both wins away. The Seattle Storm: 4-0, four covers, 4.18 units. The Chicago Sky, the Las Vegas Aces, the Los Angeles Sparks and the Minnesota Lynx each beat Portland three times out of three; Chicago and Los Angeles covered all three.

The Fire against the teams they played mostGolden State Valkyries1-3, covered 1Seattle Storm4-0, covered 4Atlanta Dream2-1, covered 2Chicago Sky0-3, covered 0Connecticut Sun2-1, covered 1Dallas Wings1-2, covered 2Indiana Fever1-2, covered 1Las Vegas Aces0-3, covered 1
2026 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

25 overs, 19 unders, 56.8%; three teams went over more often. Portland allowed 91.02 points a game, third-most in the league.

Questions and answers

What did a unit on every Fire game return in 2026?

16.14 units, second in the WNBA behind Washington.

What was the Fire’s record as underdogs?

13-24 in 37 games, and 16.92 units made backing them to win.

Did the Fire cover more often at home or away?

At home, 12 of 22; away, 10 of 22.

Past games

  1. Valkyries at Fire · 22 SepGolden State should win, by about eight, and the price asks for 12.5.

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