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Dallas Wings

WNBA5 predictions

Wings games stayed under the posted total in 26 of 44 games in 2026, a count only Golden State matched. Dallas covered 13 of 22 at home and 8 of 22 on the road.

Watch the under

Start with the total. Dallas games stayed under 26 times and went over 18. The Wings scored 89.39 a game and allowed 85.25, and the under still landed 59.1% of the time. Only the Golden State Valkyries had as many unders.

The Wings 2026 regular season, game by game2026-05-09 at Indiana Fever 107-1042026-05-12 v Atlanta Dream 72-772026-05-14 v Minnesota Lynx 86-902026-05-18 v Washington Mystics 92-692026-05-20 at Chicago Sky 99-892026-05-22 at Atlanta Dream 69-862026-05-24 at New York Liberty 91-762026-05-28 v Las Vegas Aces 95-872026-06-01 v Seattle Storm 79-562026-06-05 at Los Angeles Sparks 104-962026-06-09 at Minnesota Lynx 76-1002026-06-11 v Phoenix Mercury 85-702026-06-13 at Portland Fire 83-842026-06-15 v Las Vegas Aces 96-662026-06-17 at Golden State Valkyries 80-912026-06-20 v Chicago Sky 93-922026-06-22 at Seattle Storm 112-1102026-06-25 at Las Vegas Aces 84-992026-06-28 v Minnesota Lynx 77-852026-07-02 at Connecticut Sun 86-832026-07-05 at Toronto Tempo 89-762026-07-07 at New York Liberty 88-772026-07-10 at Toronto Tempo 108-952026-07-12 v Chicago Sky 96-912026-07-19 v Los Angeles Sparks 90-822026-07-20 v New York Liberty 98-992026-07-22 at Portland Fire 101-972026-07-29 v Atlanta Dream 81-822026-07-31 at Washington Mystics 75-812026-08-02 v Connecticut Sun 83-632026-08-05 at Washington Mystics 92-962026-08-07 v Golden State Valkyries 76-942026-08-09 at Minnesota Lynx 90-1032026-08-12 v Toronto Tempo 94-882026-08-14 at Indiana Fever 87-982026-08-17 at Golden State Valkyries 70-782026-08-20 v Indiana Fever 91-852026-08-23 v Seattle Storm 92-702026-08-25 v Portland Fire 96-782026-08-30 v Connecticut Sun 97-712026-09-17 v Los Angeles Sparks 97-772026-09-19 v Phoenix Mercury 87-822026-09-21 at Phoenix Mercury 86-872026-09-23 at Seattle Storm 103-91Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
27-17 in 44 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home is a different team

In Dallas the Wings went 16-6 and covered 13 times in 22. Away they went 11-11 and covered 8. Only the Connecticut Sun and the New York Liberty covered less often on the road. A unit on Dallas in each home game made 1.62 units; away the same bet lost 2.12.

Two of the road defeats were by a single point at short prices: 87-86 at the Phoenix Mercury at -218 on 21 September, and 84-83 at the Portland Fire at -166 on 13 June.

The Wings at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (22)won 16 (72.7%)covered 13 of 22 (59.1%)Away (22)won 11 (50.0%)covered 8 of 22 (36.4%)Favorite (26)won 21 (80.8%)covered 13 of 26 (50.0%)Underdog (18)won 6 (33.3%)covered 8 of 18 (44.4%)50%
2026 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The Lynx problem

Four games against the Minnesota Lynx. Four defeats, no covers, 4 units lost on the moneyline. We would need a real reason to back Dallas in that one. The Seattle Storm were the other side of it: four meetings, four Dallas wins, three covers. The Atlanta Dream and Golden State each beat the Wings three times out of three. New York went the other way on the spread: Dallas covered all three meetings and made 2.45 units.

The Wings against the teams they played mostMinnesota Lynx0-4, covered 0Seattle Storm4-0, covered 3Atlanta Dream0-3, covered 1Chicago Sky3-0, covered 1Connecticut Sun3-0, covered 2Golden State Valkyries0-3, covered 0Indiana Fever2-1, covered 2Las Vegas Aces2-1, covered 2
2026 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The moneyline

Across 44 games, backing Dallas to win lost 0.49 units. As favorites they went 21-5 and made 1.66 units, fourth in the league. As underdogs they went 6-12 and lost 2.15. May was the best month, 5-3 and 3.92 units, with wins at the Indiana Fever, 107-104, and at New York, 91-76, both at +200. June gave back 1.98 units and August 2.61. Their longest winning run was six games. Both overtime games were one-possession results: a 112-110 win at Seattle that missed at -410, and a 99-98 home defeat by New York that covered at +170.

One unit on the Wings to win, every game0-2+2+4-0.49 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 44 priced 2026 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Questions and answers

Do Wings games lean under?

They did in 2026: 26 unders in 44, level with Golden State for the most in the WNBA.

Do the Wings cover better in Dallas?

Yes: 13 covers in 22 home games, against 8 in 22 away.

What happened when the Wings played the Lynx in 2026?

Four games, four losses, no covers, and 4 units lost backing Dallas to win.

Past games

  1. Wings at Valkyries · 2 OctMy number is Golden State by 4.0 and the market has the Valkyries by 7.5.
  2. Valkyries at Wings · 30 SepMy number is Golden State by 1.4 and the market has the Valkyries by 3.5.
  3. Wings at Valkyries · 27 SepGolden State is 7-4 at home against winning teams and wins those games by 1.3 points on average, while Dallas loses its equivalent road games by 6.7.
  4. Wings at Storm · 23 SepNo bet: the line posted at Dallas -9.5, and this page said before it posted that anything from -5 out was a pass.
  5. Wings at Mercury · 21 SepPhoenix is 1-8 at home against winning teams.

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