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Indianapolis Colts vs. Chicago Bears Pick & Prediction OCT 4TH 2020
The Chicago Bears could face their toughest test yet this season when they host the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday afternoon.
Chicago (3-0) enters Week 4 as one of seven unbeaten teams to start the 2020 campaign. It has been an unorthodox path to perfection for the Bears, who have won all three games by four-point margins. Furious three-TD rallies at Detroit Week 1 and in Atlanta last week with Nick Foles at the controls off the bench helped carve a most unpredictable path.
"It has truly taken everybody," Bears tight end Jimmy Graham, who has three receiving touchdowns to lead the team. "It's truly taken every player, every coach -- offense, defense and special teams -- to pull out these wins. And when you're able to do things like this ... that's when you know you're building something special."
Foles heads into the Colts game as the Bears' clear-cut No. 1 signal-caller after replacing teammate Mitchell Trubisky in the third quarter last week. Foles engineered a fourth-quarter rally to knock off the Atlanta Falcons and seize the starting job going forward.
For Foles and the Bears, the challenge figures to be tougher this week against the Colts (2-1). The Colts are guided by Frank Reich. The second-year head coach was with the Philadelphia Eagles as quarterback coach -- and Foles' bible study partner, meeting room mentor and friend -- when Foles replaced Carson Wentz and won Super Bowl MVP.
"He was the one who really figured me out as a player," Foles said of Reich's tutelage in 2017.
Indianapolis is coming off back-to-back wins over the Minnesota Vikings and New York Jets.
The Colts rolled to a 36-7 victory over New York last week thanks in large part to an aggressive defense that registered two sacks and three interceptions against Jets quarterback Sam Darnold.
The Colts have allowed only 225.3 yards per game, which is the best mark in the NFL. They'll have plans to get Foles out of a rhythm.
"Nick is about as unflappable of a person as I've ever been around," Foles said. ""He's a very unique player in that regard. Extremely talented. He's a big-time passer; this guy, he just has this knack for making big plays like few I've ever seen, and then he has this knack for coming up big in big moments. In the biggest moments, that's usually when he's at his best. ... He's a stud, man."
Colts veteran quarterback Philip Rivers has skillfully managed the offense, completing 17 of 21 passes for 217 yards and a touchdown in his latest game. Rookie running back Jonathan Taylor added 59 yards and a touchdown on 13 carries.
Taylor credited Rivers with setting the tone for the calm-and-steady Colts.
"Seventeen years, there's not one defensive scheme that you can put in his face that he doesn't have an answer to," Taylor said. "When you have a guy who has experience like that, you know that you're in good hands."
The line of scrimmage could decide this showdown, and a special matchup is likely to take place on the interior as Colts offensive lineman Quenton Nelson goes up against Bears defensive lineman Akiem Hicks.
Chicago's defense as a whole will look for a better performance in Week 4. The Bears are No. 15 in the league with 364.0 yards allowed per game, and they have not yet shown the elite performance they hoped to achieve.
This is the first time the Bears and Colts have met since 2016, when Indianapolis held on for a 29-23 win at home. The Colts lead the all-time series 24-19 but have lost two of the last three matchups.
The Bears will be without dynamic running back Tarik Cohen, who tore his ACL last week against Atlanta and will miss the rest of the season. Cohen's absence could mean a heavier workload for David Montgomery, and former Oregon State running back Artavis Pierce could make his NFL debut after the team promoted him from the practice squad this week.
--Field Level Media
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Indianapolis Colts
Chicago Bears
Player | Position | Lineup |
---|---|---|
Mo Alie-Cox | primary: Tight End | Starter |
Denico Autry | primary: Defensive End | Starter |
Anthony Castonzo | primary: Left Tackle | Starter |
Jack Doyle | primary: Tight End | Starter |
Mark Glowinski | primary: Right Guard | Starter |
T.Y. Hilton | primary: Wide Receiver | Starter |
Justin Houston | primary: Defensive End | Starter |
Ryan Kelly | primary: Center | Starter |
Darius Leonard | primary: Weak Linebacker | Starter |
Kenny Moore II | primary: Cornerback | Starter |
Quenton Nelson | primary: Left Guard | Starter |
Bobby Okereke | primary: Strong Outside Linebacker | Starter |
Zach Pascal | primary: Wide Receiver | Starter |
Braden Smith | primary: Right Tackle | Starter |
Grover Stewart | primary: Nose Tackle | Starter |
Anthony Walker | primary: Middle Linebacker | Starter |
Khari Willis | primary: Strong Safety | Starter |
DeForest Buckner | primary: Defensive Tackle | Starter |
Philip Rivers | primary: Quarterback | Starter |
Xavier Rhodes | primary: Cornerback | Starter |
Jonathan Taylor | primary: Runningback | Starter |
Julian Blackmon | primary: Free Safety | Starter |
Ben Banogu | primary: Defensive End | Substitution |
Ashton Dulin | primary: Wide Receiver | Substitution |
Daurice Fountain | primary: Wide Receiver | Substitution |
Zaire Franklin | primary: Linebacker | Substitution |
Nyheim Hines | primary: Runningback | Substitution |
Marcus Johnson | primary: Wide Receiver | Substitution |
Tyquan Lewis | primary: Defensive Tackle | Substitution |
Al-Quadin Muhammad | primary: Defensive End | Substitution |
George Odum | primary: Safety | Substitution |
Luke Rhodes | primary: Long Snapper | Substitution |
Rigoberto Sanchez | primary: Punter | Substitution |
E.J. Speed | primary: Linebacker | Substitution |
Jordan Wilkins | primary: Runningback | Substitution |
Rock Ya-Sin | primary: Cornerback | Substitution |
Le'Raven Clark | primary: Offensive Tackle | Substitution |
Trey Burton | primary: Tight End | Substitution |
Danny Pinter | primary: Guard | Substitution |
Isaiah Rodgers | primary: Cornerback | Substitution |
Jordan Glasgow | primary: Linebacker | Substitution |
Rodrigo Blankenship | primary: Kicker | Substitution |
Taylor Stallworth | primary: Defensive Tackle | Substitution |
Tavon Wilson | primary: Safety | Substitution |
Tremon Smith | primary: Cornerback | Substitution |
Chaz Green | primary: Offensive Tackle | Substitution |
Ibraheim Campbell | primary: Safety | Substitution |
Jacoby Brissett | primary: Quarterback | Did not play |
T.J. Carrie | primary: Cornerback | Not active |
Jacob Eason | primary: Quarterback | Not active |
Dezmon Patmon | primary: Wide Receiver | Not active |
Noah Togiai | primary: Tight End | Not active |
Eli Ankou | primary: Defensive Tackle | Not active |
Ron'Dell Carter | primary: Defensive End | Not active |
Player | Position | Lineup |
---|---|---|
James Daniels | primary: Left Guard | Starter |
Kyle Fuller | primary: Cornerback | Starter |
Akiem Hicks | primary: Defensive Tackle | Starter |
Eddie Jackson | primary: Safety | Starter |
Charles Leno Jr. | primary: Left Tackle | Starter |
Khalil Mack | primary: Outside Linebacker | Starter |
Bobby Massie | primary: Right Tackle | Starter |
David Montgomery | primary: Runningback | Starter |
Bilal Nichols | primary: Nose Tackle | Starter |
Roy Robertson-Harris | primary: Defensive End | Starter |
Allen Robinson II | primary: Wide Receiver | Starter |
Roquan Smith | primary: Inside Linebacker | Starter |
Danny Trevathan | primary: Inside Linebacker | Starter |
Cody Whitehair | primary: Center | Starter |
Demetrius Harris | primary: Tight End | Starter |
Jimmy Graham | primary: Tight End | Starter |
Nick Foles | primary: Quarterback | Starter |
Germain Ifedi | primary: Right Guard | Starter |
Robert Quinn | primary: Outside Linebacker | Starter |
Cole Kmet | primary: Tight End | Starter |
Jaylon Johnson | primary: Cornerback | Starter |
Tashaun Gipson Sr. | primary: Safety | Starter |
Alex Bars | primary: Offensive Linesman | Substitution |
Deon Bush | primary: Defensive Back | Substitution |
Rashaad Coward | primary: Offensive Linesman | Substitution |
DeAndre Houston-Carson | primary: Defensive Back | Substitution |
Joel Iyiegbuniwe | primary: Linebacker | Substitution |
Anthony Miller | primary: Wide Receiver | Substitution |
Ryan Nall | primary: Runningback | Substitution |
Pat O'Donnell | primary: Punter | Substitution |
Cordarrelle Patterson | primary: Wide Receiver | Substitution |
Duke Shelley | primary: Defensive Back | Substitution |
Buster Skrine | primary: Defensive Back | Substitution |
Javon Wims | primary: Wide Receiver | Substitution |
Josh Woods | primary: Linebacker | Substitution |
J.P. Holtz | primary: Tight End | Substitution |
James Vaughters | primary: Linebacker | Substitution |
Brent Urban | primary: Defensive End | Substitution |
Patrick Scales | primary: Long Snapper | Substitution |
Barkevious Mingo | primary: Linebacker | Substitution |
Trevis Gipson | primary: Linebacker | Substitution |
Kindle Vildor | primary: Defensive Back | Substitution |
Darnell Mooney | primary: Wide Receiver | Substitution |
Ted Ginn Jr. | primary: Wide Receiver | Substitution |
Cairo Santos | primary: Kicker | Substitution |
Mario Edwards Jr. | primary: Defensive End | Substitution |
Sherrick McManis | primary: Defensive Back | Not active |
Riley Ridley | primary: Wide Receiver | Not active |
Mitchell Trubisky | primary: Quarterback | Did not play |
Tyler Bray | primary: Quarterback | Not active |
Jason Spriggs | primary: Offensive Linesman | Did not play |
Arlington Hambright | primary: Offensive Linesman | Not active |
Artavis Pierce | primary: Runningback | Not active |
Dan McCullers | primary: Defensive Tackle | Not active |
Indianapolis Colts
Chicago Bears
- Match Start
- Period 1
-
MIN 8
- scoring-play
- Touchdown
- Pass
- 13 Yards
- Pass Receiver: Mo Alie-Cox
- Passer: Philip Rivers
- Conv Kicker: Rodrigo Blankenship
- Period 2
-
MIN 0
- scoring-play
- Field Goal
- 30 Yards
- FG Kicker: Rodrigo Blankenship
-
MIN 3
- scoring-play
- Field Goal
- 21 Yards
- FG Kicker: Rodrigo Blankenship
-
MIN 9
- scoring-play
- Field Goal
- 27 Yards
- FG Kicker: Cairo Santos
- Period 3
-
MIN 0
- scoring-play
- Field Goal
- 44 Yards
- FG Kicker: Rodrigo Blankenship
- Period 4
-
MIN 1
- scoring-play
- Touchdown
- Pass
- 16 Yards
- Pass Receiver: Allen Robinson II
- Passer: Nick Foles
- Conv Rusher: David Montgomery
-
MIN 3
- scoring-play
- Field Goal
- 30 Yards
- FG Kicker: Rodrigo Blankenship
- Match End
GAMES
Last 10
- @Buffalo L 24 - 27
- Jacksonville W 14 - 28
- @Pittsburgh L 24 - 28
- Houston W 20 - 27
- @Las Vegas W 44 - 27
- @Houston W 26 - 20
- Tennessee L 45 - 26
- Green Bay W 31 - 34
- @Tennessee W 34 - 17
- Baltimore L 24 - 10
- @New Orleans L 9 - 21
- Green Bay L 35 - 16
- @Jacksonville W 41 - 17
- @Minnesota W 33 - 27
- Houston W 7 - 36
- Detroit L 34 - 30
- @Green Bay L 25 - 41
- Minnesota L 19 - 13
- @Tennessee L 17 - 24
- New Orleans L 26 - 23
Last Meetings
American Football Conference
AFC East | W | L | D | PRC | GB | HOME | AWAY | PA | ST | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Buffalo Bills | 13 | 3 | 0 | .813 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7-1 | 6-2 | 9-0-1 |
Miami Dolphins | 10 | 6 | 0 | .625 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 7-0-3 |
New England Patriots | 7 | 9 | 0 | .438 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5-3 | 2-6 | 5-0-5 |
New York Jets | 2 | 14 | 0 | .125 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 2-0-8 |
AFC North | W | L | D | PRC | GB | HOME | AWAY | PA | ST | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh Steelers | 12 | 4 | 0 | .750 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7-1 | 5-3 | 6-0-4 |
Cleveland Browns | 11 | 5 | 0 | .688 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 7-0-3 |
Baltimore Ravens | 11 | 5 | 0 | .688 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5-3 | 6-2 | 6-0-4 |
Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 11 | 1 | .267 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3-5 | 1-6 | 3-1-7 |
AFC South | W | L | D | PRC | GB | HOME | AWAY | PA | ST | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Indianapolis Colts | 11 | 5 | 0 | .688 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 7-0-3 |
Tennessee Titans | 11 | 5 | 0 | .688 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5-3 | 6-2 | 6-0-4 |
Houston Texans | 4 | 12 | 0 | .250 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 3-0-7 |
Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 15 | 0 | .063 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1-7 | 0-8 | 1-0-10 |
AFC West | W | L | D | PRC | GB | HOME | AWAY | PA | ST | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kansas City Chiefs | 14 | 2 | 0 | .875 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6-2 | 8-0 | 9-0-1 |
Las Vegas Raiders | 8 | 8 | 0 | .500 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2-6 | 6-2 | 5-0-5 |
Los Angeles Chargers | 7 | 9 | 0 | .438 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 5-0-5 |
Denver Broncos | 5 | 11 | 0 | .313 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 3-0-7 |
National Football Conference
NFC East | W | L | D | PRC | GB | HOME | AWAY | PA | ST | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Washington Football Team | 7 | 9 | 0 | .438 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 6-0-4 |
New York Giants | 6 | 10 | 0 | .375 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 5-0-5 |
Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 10 | 0 | .375 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4-4 | 2-6 | 4-0-6 |
Philadelphia Eagles | 4 | 11 | 1 | .267 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3-4 | 1-7 | 3-1-7 |
NFC North | W | L | D | PRC | GB | HOME | AWAY | PA | ST | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Green Bay Packers | 13 | 3 | 0 | .813 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7-1 | 6-2 | 8-0-2 |
Chicago Bears | 8 | 8 | 0 | .500 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 3-0-7 |
Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 9 | 0 | .438 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 6-0-4 |
Detroit Lions | 5 | 11 | 0 | .313 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 2-0-8 |
NFC South | W | L | D | PRC | GB | HOME | AWAY | PA | ST | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Orleans Saints | 12 | 4 | 0 | .750 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6-2 | 6-2 | 8-0-2 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 11 | 5 | 0 | .688 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5-3 | 6-2 | 7-0-3 |
Carolina Panthers | 5 | 11 | 0 | .313 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 2-0-8 |
Atlanta Falcons | 4 | 12 | 0 | .250 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 3-0-7 |
NFC West | W | L | D | PRC | GB | HOME | AWAY | PA | ST | L10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seattle Seahawks | 12 | 4 | 0 | .750 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7-1 | 5-3 | 7-0-3 |
Los Angeles Rams | 10 | 6 | 0 | .625 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 6-0-4 |
Arizona Cardinals | 8 | 8 | 0 | .500 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 4-0-6 |
San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 10 | 0 | .375 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1-7 | 5-3 | 3-0-7 |
Last Injuries
Trends
Chicago Trends
- TrendUnder is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0.Hit %100.00% (4)O/U0|4Push0W/L
- TrendUnder is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games as a home favorite.Hit %100.00% (4)O/U0|4Push0W/L
- TrendOver is 6-2 in Bears last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.Hit %75.00% (8)O/U6|2Push0W/L
- TrendUnder is 7-3 in Bears last 10 games as a home underdog.Hit %70.00% (10)O/U3|7Push0W/L
Indianapolis Trends
- TrendOver is 7-3 in Colts last 10 games as a favorite.Hit %70.00% (10)O/U7|3Push0W/L
- TrendUnder is 6-0 in Colts last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.Hit %100.00% (6)O/U6|2Push0W/L
- TrendUnder is 9-1 in Colts last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.Hit %90.00% (10)O/U0|5Push0W/L
- TrendUnder is 9-1 in Colts last 10 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.Hit %90.00% (10)O/U1|9Push0W/L
Meetings Trends
- TrendFavorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.Hit %80.00% (5)O/UPush0W/L4|1