Arizona State Sun Devils vs TCU Horned Frogs September 26th 2025

In Week 5 of the 2025 regular season, the TCU Horned Frogs travel to face the Arizona State Sun Devils. The game will take place at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, AZ. Kickoff is set for 9:00 PM on Friday, September 26, 2025, and will be broadcast on FOX.

TCU enters the game with a perfect 3-0 record and ranks #24 in the AP Poll. Arizona State stands at 3-1, with a strong 2-0 home record. Both teams are part of the Big 12 conference, making this game an important matchup early in the season.

TCU vs Arizona State CFB Key Information

Sport: College Football
Teams: TCU Horned Frogs vs. Arizona State Sun Devils
Venue: Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, AZ
Date: Friday, September 26, 2025
Betting Odds: TCU Moneyline +116, Arizona State Moneyline -139, TCU Spread +2.5 (-107), Arizona State Spread -2.5 (-114), Total Over 54.5 (-111), Total Under 54.5 (-110)

TCU Can Win If…

TCU Horned Frogs come into this game with momentum. In their last game, they won 35-24 against SMU Mustangs. Josh Hoover led the team with 379 passing yards and 11 touchdowns this season, making him a key player to watch.

TCU’s offense has been solid, ranking 37th in passing yards with 1,024 this season. Their defense is also strong, with 8 sacks and 3 interceptions, both ranked 10th and 4th respectively. These stats show that TCU can control the game on both sides of the ball.

Key players like Eric McAlister and Jordan Dwyer have been effective in receiving yards and touchdowns. McAlister has 320 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Dwyer adds 257 yards and 2 touchdowns. With these players, TCU has the tools to secure another win, despite some injuries on the team.

Arizona State Can Win If…

Arizona State Sun Devils are coming off a tight win against Baylor Bears, 27-24. The Sun Devils showed strong control with 26 first downs compared to Baylor’s 18. Their rushing attack was solid, gaining 180 yards on the ground, which helped secure the victory.

Arizona State’s rushing game stands out, ranking 19th nationally with 886 yards this season. Raleek Brown leads the ground attack with 372 rushing yards. On defense, the Sun Devils excel with 13 sacks, ranked 5th, and have recovered 4 fumbles, ranked 2nd.

Quarterback Sam Leavitt plays a key role, passing for 748 yards and throwing 6 touchdowns. Wide receiver Jordyn Tyson is another key player, with 357 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. Despite some injuries, the Sun Devils have depth and talent to win their next game.

Latest Betting Trends

Arizona State is 3-1 against the spread this season, covering in both of its home games.
The Sun Devils are averaging 406 yards per game but have struggled in the red zone, settling for multiple field goals in three of their four contests.
TCU is 2-1 ATS, with their lone non-cover coming on the road at North Carolina in Week 1.
The Horned Frogs have scored 30 or more points in two straight games, fueled by Josh Hoover’s 8 touchdown passes in that span.
The last two meetings between these programs came in the mid-1970s, both won by Arizona State, but this will be their first matchup as Big 12 opponents.

The Lean

For the spread pick, take Arizona State to cover -2.5 points. The Sun Devils have a strong record at home, winning their last 9 home games straight up. TCU is performing well, but Arizona State’s home advantage and recent form make them the safer pick. The model projects Arizona State to win 28-24, which covers the spread.

For the over/under pick, choose the over on 54.5 total points. Both teams have shown they can score, with TCU putting up 35 points in their last game. Arizona State also scored 27 points in their recent win. The model projects a total of 52 points, but given both teams’ offensive capabilities, the over is a reasonable choice.

No. 24 TCU Set to Open Big 12 Season at Arizona State

Defending Big 12 champion Arizona State returns home to face No. 24 TCU on Friday night in Tempe in one of the spotlight matchups of the week. Both teams enter with momentum and postseason aspirations, setting the stage for a compelling early conference battle.

Arizona State’s Offensive Balance

Arizona State (3-1, 1-0 Big 12) is coming off a dramatic 27-24 road win at Baylor, capped by a last-second 43-yard field goal from Jesus Gomez. Quarterback Sam Leavitt showcased poise throughout, completing 22 of 32 passes for 221 yards and a touchdown without an interception. He also added 62 rushing yards and another score on the ground.

Jordyn Tyson remains his favorite target, hauling in seven catches including a key 19-yard touchdown late in the fourth quarter. Running back Raleek Brown chipped in 80 yards on 21 carries to help keep Baylor’s defense honest.

While the Sun Devils averaged 400 yards of total offense in the win, head coach Kenny Dillingham pointed to red-zone struggles after the team settled for four field goals. That lack of finishing power is a concern as the competition ramps up.

For fans tracking Arizona State and all other programs, updated stats and profiles can be found on the NCAAF teams page

TCU’s Explosive Passing Game

TCU (3-0) is riding high after a 35-24 win over SMU behind Josh Hoover’s career-best performance. The quarterback threw for 379 yards and five touchdowns, with his top target Eric McAlister exploding for 254 receiving yards and three scores.

Despite the offensive fireworks, head coach Sonny Dykes emphasized the need for sharper execution. The Horned Frogs committed nine penalties for 65 yards, and Hoover’s red-zone interception kept SMU within striking distance. Dykes warned that such mistakes could prove costly against Arizona State’s balanced attack.

For bettors and analysts, the latest lines and insights are updated daily on the college football odds page

Matchup to Watch

This game may come down to which quarterback-receiver duo performs better under pressure. Arizona State’s Leavitt-to-Tyson connection has been steady, while TCU’s Hoover-to-McAlister pairing looks capable of breaking open any defense.

Red-zone efficiency and discipline will likely tilt the outcome. Arizona State cannot afford to settle for field goals against TCU’s explosive offense, and the Horned Frogs must clean up penalties to avoid giving the Sun Devils extra chances.

Fans can explore more college football previewsfor insights on this matchup and others across the conference.

Series History

This will be the first meeting between the two programs in 50 years. Arizona State won the only previous contests, played in 1974 and 1975. With the Sun Devils now firmly in the Big 12 mix, this new chapter could carry added importance in the conference landscape.

Betting Insights and Expert Picks

With both teams showcasing explosive potential, the betting market is keeping a close eye on how the line moves heading into kickoff. The Sun Devils’ ability to finish drives and TCU’s discipline will be key factors.

Those looking to wager can review expert predictions on the college football picks page and explore value plays with top-rated handicappers on the leaderboard. For personalized plays, premium packages are available on the buy picks section

Arizona State Sun Devils vs Tcu Horned Frogs Picks and Predictions September 26th 2025