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Game Preview Missouri @ Arkansas
The Missouri Tigers head to Fayetteville to close out their SEC regular season against the struggling Arkansas Razorbacks in a matchup with postseason implications for one side and rebuilding questions for the other.
Missouri (7-4, 3-4 SEC) looks to bounce back from a 17-6 loss at Oklahoma, a game in which they moved the ball decently but struggled mightily on third down (3-for-15) and failed to reach the end zone for the first time all year.
Arkansas (2-9, 0-7 SEC) is in the midst of a nine-game losing streak and still searching for its first SEC win. Interim coach Bobby Petrino may rotate quarterbacks again, with both Taylen Green and KJ Jackson having played significant snaps.
For Missouri, bowl positioning and a strong finish under coach Eliah Drinkwitz remain the focus. For Arkansas, it’s about closing a dismal campaign on a positive note, as the program reportedly eyes South Florida’s Alex Golesh as its next head coach.
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Odds and Key Information
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Spread | Missouri -7.5 |
| Moneyline | Missouri -320 / Arkansas +260 |
| Total (O/U) | 48.5 |
| Location | Fayetteville, AR |
| Time & Date | Saturday, Nov. 30, 4:00 PM ET |
| TV Coverage | SEC Network |
Track updated betting lines on the NCAAF scores and odds board.
Missouri Outlook
The Tigers defense held Oklahoma to just 17 points last week, but the offense failed to convert opportunities. Quarterback Beau Pribula threw for 231 yards but also had two interceptions and was sacked four times. Their inability to extend drives on third down defined the loss.
Despite that, Missouri still outgained the Sooners and has shown enough defensive consistency to control games when paired with a balanced offensive attack. The run game has taken a step back in recent weeks, which has forced more pressure onto Pribula.
Drinkwitz acknowledged the offense has to deliver in crucial moments. His new contract extension adds pressure to produce results down the stretch.
Explore why third-down efficiency is a hidden factor in betting analysis.
Arkansas Outlook
The Razorbacks continue to search for answers. Their most recent defeat, a 52-37 loss to Texas, showcased some offensive life. KJ Jackson completed 16 of 29 passes for 206 yards and a touchdown after replacing an injured Taylen Green.
Green, who’s passed for 2,655 yards and rushed for 775 with 27 total touchdowns this season, started the game but was held out after being cleared, as Petrino opted to ride the hot hand in Jackson.
Defensively, Arkansas has allowed over 30 points in five of its last six games and has been gashed both through the air and on the ground. With a coaching change looming, player motivation could be a wild card here.
Understand how hedge betting works in volatile matchups like this.
Key Matchup Table
| Matchup | Edge |
|---|---|
| Passing Efficiency | Missouri |
| Rushing Attack | Arkansas |
| Offensive Line Protection | Missouri |
| Turnovers | Arkansas |
| Defensive Pressure | Missouri |
| Coaching Consistency | Missouri |
Betting Trends
- Missouri is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
- Arkansas is 0-7 ATS in SEC play this season.
- The total has gone over in 4 of Arkansas’ last 5 games.
- Missouri has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 meetings.
- Arkansas has allowed 35+ points in 4 of its last 5 games.
- Missouri is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 road games.
- Arkansas has lost 9 straight games overall.
- Missouri games have hit the under in 3 of the last 4.
- Arkansas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 home games.
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Prediction
Motivation and discipline are key differentiators in this matchup. Missouri has everything to play for, while Arkansas is simply trying to end a nightmare season. The Tigers’ defense has been reliable, and the offense should find easier footing against a Razorbacks unit giving up over 35 points per game during conference play.
With quarterback uncertainty and coaching distractions on the Arkansas sideline, Missouri is positioned to control tempo and field position, which should be enough to cover the spread.
Projected Score: Missouri 31, Arkansas 20
Spread Pick: Missouri -7.5
Total Lean: Over 48.5
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