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Notre Dame vs Arkansas Betting Preview
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish head to Fayetteville to face the Arkansas Razorbacks in Week 5, marking the first-ever meeting between the programs at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Notre Dame (1-2, ranked #22) looks to build momentum after a 56-30 win over Purdue, while Arkansas (2-2) tries to stop a two-game skid after blowing a late lead at Memphis.
The Irish opened as –5.5 favorites, with the total set high at 64.5 points.
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Line Movement and Odds
- Spread: Notre Dame –5.5
- Moneyline: Notre Dame –204 / Arkansas +169
- Total: 64.5
The public is leaning on Notre Dame after its big offensive showing, though sharp money has eyed the under with two defenses capable of generating turnovers.
Notre Dame QB CJ Carr has been efficient, completing 66.2% of his passes with 5 TDs against 2 INTs. RBs Jeremiyah Love (284 yards, 3 TDs) and Jadarian Price (187 yards, 5 TDs) power the run game.
Arkansas relies on dual-threat QB Taylen Green, who leads in passing (1,191 yards, SEC-best 12 TDs) and rushing (360 yards, 2 TDs). WR O’Mega Blake has been his top target with 24 catches for 326 yards.
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Matchup Breakdown
Notre Dame outlook:
The Irish must cut down on defensive breakdowns. Their secondary has been tested, but the pass rush (top 15 in sacks) gives them opportunities. Offensively, balance through Love and Price makes Carr’s job easier.
Arkansas outlook:
The Razorbacks need Green to extend plays and protect the ball. Their defense ranks top 10 nationally in both interceptions and sacks, but tackling issues have killed them late.
Key battle:
Notre Dame’s run game vs Arkansas’ front seven. If the Irish run downhill, they’ll control tempo. If the Razorbacks get Green into rhythm, they’ll stretch Notre Dame’s shaky secondary.
Injuries and Conditions
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
- No major new injuries announced
- Defense has struggled with cohesion, not personnel
Arkansas Razorbacks
- QB Taylen Green healthy and leading offense
- No key skill-position absences reported
Weather: Conditions in Fayetteville are expected to be mild and clear. No weather concerns.
Best Bets and Prediction
Pick: Notre Dame –5.5
Projected final score: Notre Dame 35, Arkansas 28
Total lean: Under 64.5
Why it cashes:
Notre Dame has the more balanced attack, and its pass rush should make enough plays to offset defensive lapses. Arkansas’ offense is dangerous, but late-game execution has been an issue. Expect scoring, but the number is inflated.
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| Category | Detail |
|---|---|
| Best Bet | Notre Dame –5.5 |
| Confidence | ★★★★☆ |
| Projected Score | Notre Dame 35, Arkansas 28 |
| Total Lean | Under 64.5 |
| Market Split | 60% of bets on Notre Dame, sharper action under |
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