NFL Previews 
MLB Previews 
NBA Previews 
NHL Previews 
Soccer Previews 
Florida vs Kentucky Week 11 Betting Preview
The Florida Gators and Kentucky Wildcats meet Saturday night in Lexington in a matchup featuring two programs with very different levels of pressure on their coaching staffs. Florida (3-5, 2-3 SEC) remains under interim coach Billy Gonzales, while Mark Stoops’ Kentucky (3-5, 1-5) is fighting to save its season. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at Kroger Field, airing on SEC Network.
The Gators led twice in their 24-20 loss to Georgia last week, showing some progress under new offensive play-caller Ryan O’Hara. Kentucky, meanwhile, snapped its SEC skid with a gritty 10-3 win at Auburn — highlighted by seven sacks that showcased its defensive front’s potential.
Get more upcoming matchups and betting previews on our NCAA football previews
Dominate the Sportsbook with Proven Picks
All Sports, One Winning Strategy
Line Movement and Odds
The early line opened with Florida favored by 4 points and has since settled around Gators -3 with a total near 43.5. The moneyline sits around Florida -155 and Kentucky +135 according to consensus movement tracked on our college football odds page
Sharp bettors have leaned toward Florida after the team’s strong first half vs. Georgia, while public money shows moderate support for the under. Line movement suggests a tight defensive game — exactly the kind Stoops thrives in when Kentucky controls the tempo.
Matchup Breakdown
Florida’s offense has seen flashes under freshman quarterback DJ Lagway, who’s completed 65 percent of his passes for 1,679 yards with 10 touchdowns and nine picks. Running back Jadan Baugh remains the focal point, averaging 5.2 yards per carry with five scores.
Kentucky countered Auburn with ferocious pressure that resulted in seven sacks, and that pass rush again takes aim at Lagway. Quarterback Cutter Boley has thrown 10 TDs with 65.8 percent accuracy, while Seth McGowan adds 529 yards and seven scores on the ground.
Both programs enter with similar records but different identities: Florida relies on athleticism and big-play capability, while Kentucky leans on its defensive front and field position. Bettors looking for trend context can review insights in our expert betting guide
Injuries and Conditions
Florida Gators
- WR Vernell Brown III – Questionable (shoulder)
- WR Aidan Mizell – Questionable (hamstring)
- WR Eugene Wilson III – Out
See the full Florida injury report for updates.
Kentucky Wildcats
- CB DJ Waller – Probable return
- RB LaVell Wright – Questionable (ankle)
Full details available on the Kentucky injury report
Weather in Lexington projects mild and dry with light wind, unlikely to affect totals or kicking.
Best Bets and Prediction
Florida’s defense has allowed 24 points or fewer in four of its last six, and Kentucky’s offense hasn’t topped 24 since early October. Expect a controlled pace with few explosive plays.
Prediction: Florida 24, Kentucky 20
Best Bet: Florida -3
Secondary Lean: Under 43.5
Compare more Week 11 value plays on our college football picks page or shop for premium insights in the buy picks section
Unlock 5,000+ Winning Picks Every Season
Bet Smarter, Across Every League
ScoresAndStats Handicappers and Picks
Check who’s hot on the handicapper leaderboard and follow consistent performers offering sharp opinions on every major matchup. For bettors building their own card, consult our Bettors Handbook before locking in plays.
Your edge starts with informed analysis — every week at ScoresAndStats.com.
