Memphis Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Picks and Predictions September 20th 2025

Memphis Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks September 20th 2025

Week 4 of the 2025 college football season features the Arkansas Razorbacks taking on the Memphis Tigers. The game will be held at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, TN. Fans can catch the action on ABC at 12:00 PM on Saturday, September 20, 2025.

The Razorbacks come into this game with a 2-1 record, having struggled on the road with a 0-1 record. The Tigers, on the other hand, are undefeated with a 3-0 record. They have shown strength both at home and away, making this an exciting matchup on their home turf.

Arkansas vs Memphis CFB Key Information

• Sport: College Football
• Teams: Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Memphis Tigers
• Venue: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, TN
• Date: Saturday, September 20, 2025
• Betting Odds: Arkansas Moneyline -269, Memphis Moneyline +218

Arkansas heads to Memphis behind Taylen Green’s hot start

The Arkansas Razorbacks will try to bounce back from a narrow SEC loss when they visit the Memphis Tigers on Saturday afternoon. Arkansas fell 41-35 to Ole Miss despite piling up 526 total yards, while Memphis improved to 3-0 with a convincing 28-7 win at Troy. With quarterback Taylen Green returning to a familiar stadium and both teams bringing balanced attacks, bettors studying college football picks have plenty to analyze in this intriguing nonconference matchup.

Betting Odds and Trends

The Arkansas Razorbacks Can Win If…

The Arkansas Razorbacks need to lean on their dual-threat quarterback to keep the momentum rolling. Taylen Green is off to a stellar start, passing for 866 yards and 11 touchdowns while rushing for 307 yards and two more scores through three games. Against Ole Miss, Green became the first player in school history to top 300 passing yards and 100 rushing yards in a single game. If he keeps producing at that level, Arkansas will be hard to stop.

The Razorbacks rank among the nation’s elite in moving the chains, sitting 4th in first downs with 87. That reflects a balanced offense powered by running back Mike Washington Jr., who has 260 yards and three touchdowns. Sustaining long drives will not only put points on the board but also keep Memphis’ offense off the field.

Defensively, Arkansas must create timely stops after allowing 41 points last week. Generating pressure on Brendon Lewis and bottling up Sutton Smith in the run game will be the key. If the Razorbacks’ defense rises to the occasion while the offense keeps humming, Arkansas will be in control.

The Memphis Tigers Can Win If…

The Memphis Tigers will look to defend their home field with balance on both sides of the ball. Brendon Lewis has been steady under center, passing for 608 yards while rushing for 82, giving coach Ryan Silverfield a versatile weapon at quarterback. Lewis’ ability to keep defenses honest opens the door for Memphis’ strong rushing attack.

Running back Sutton Smith is the centerpiece of the offense, tallying 247 yards and four touchdowns. His two-score performance in the win over Troy highlighted his knack for capitalizing in the red zone. If Smith finds early success, it could soften Arkansas’ pass rush and give Lewis time to attack downfield.

Defensively, Memphis has been excellent, ranking 6th nationally in sacks (9) and 5th in interceptions (4). That pass rush will be tested against Green’s mobility, but if the Tigers’ front seven can contain him and create turnovers, they’ll have a chance to score another signature win at home.

The Lean

Arkansas is favored by 7 points, and the Razorbacks’ offensive firepower behind Green suggests they can cover. They’ve won and covered consistently as favorites, and the projection of 38-28 supports taking Arkansas -7.0. Green’s dual-threat ability is the difference-maker here.

The total sits at 62.5, and both offenses are capable of scoring in bunches. Arkansas has scored 143 points through three games, while Memphis has 111. The projection of 66 total points leans toward the over, especially given Arkansas’ recent trend of cashing overs as favorites.

Game Preview Recap

Saturday’s game has the makings of a shootout, with both teams bringing dynamic quarterbacks and productive rushing attacks. Taylen Green is familiar with Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, having played there twice already — once with Boise State and again with Arkansas in last year’s Liberty Bowl, where he earned MVP honors. His comfort level could be a hidden advantage.

Memphis counters with Lewis and Smith, a backfield duo that has powered the Tigers to a 3-0 start. Their ability to control tempo on the ground while generating defensive pressure could tilt the game in their favor. Coach Ryan Silverfield knows limiting Green is the top priority.

Arkansas coach Sam Pittman understands the challenge Memphis’ run game presents, noting the Tigers’ strength in zone concepts. Ultimately, the Razorbacks’ superior firepower and Green’s big-game pedigree make them the favorite, but Memphis has enough balance to keep things close.

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