Arkansas Football Odds and Predictions: Close Losses, Overs Skip to content
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Arkansas Razorbacks

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Arkansas football lost five games by three points or fewer in 2025 and finished 2-10. Eight of the Razorbacks’ 11 games with a total went over.

Five losses by a field goal or less

Arkansas went 2-10 in 2025, and five of the ten losses were by three points or fewer: 32-31 at Memphis, 34-31 at Tennessee, 45-42 against Texas A&M, 38-35 against Mississippi State and 23-22 at LSU. Three of those five came as underdogs and covered; Memphis and Mississippi State came as favorites and missed.

The Razorbacks 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v Alabama A&M Bulldogs 52-72025-09-06 v Arkansas State Red Wolves 56-142025-09-13 at Ole Miss Rebels 35-412025-09-20 at Memphis Tigers 31-322025-09-27 v Notre Dame Fighting Irish 13-562025-10-11 at Tennessee Volunteers 31-342025-10-18 v Texas A&M Aggies 42-452025-10-25 v Auburn Tigers 24-332025-11-01 v Mississippi State Bulldogs 35-382025-11-15 at LSU Tigers 22-232025-11-22 at Texas Longhorns 37-522025-11-29 v Missouri Tigers 17-31Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
2-10 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The moneyline

Ten games had a price; the opener against Alabama A&M and the finale against Missouri did not. One unit on the Razorbacks in each finished 8.97 units down; only three FBS teams lost more, and one matched it. The only priced win was 56-14 over Arkansas State at -3000. Favored and beaten: Memphis at -280, Mississippi State at -195 and Auburn, 33-24, at -130.

One unit on the Razorbacks to win, every game0-8-6-4-2-8.97 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 10 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Underdogs

Seven games as an underdog, seven losses, three covers. The misses included 56-13 against Notre Dame (+5.5) and 52-37 at Texas (+10.5).

The Razorbacks at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 2 (28.6%)covered 2 of 7 (28.6%)Away (5)won 0 (0.0%)covered 2 of 5 (40.0%)Favorite (5)won 2 (40.0%)covered 1 of 5 (20.0%)Underdog (7)won 0 (0.0%)covered 3 of 7 (42.9%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Arkansas went over in eight of 11 games with a total, a share six FBS teams topped. Arkansas scored 32.92 points a game and allowed 33.83. The Missouri game has no total in our data.

Questions and answers

How many close games did Arkansas lose in 2025?

Five by three points or fewer, out of ten losses.

How much did a unit on the Razorbacks each game lose?

8.97 over ten priced games; three FBS teams lost more.

Do Razorbacks games tend to go over?

Eight of the 11 Arkansas games with a posted total did.

Past games

  1. Tennessee at Arkansas · 10 OctArkansas +13.5
  2. Arkansas at Texas A&M · 3 OctOur number has Texas A&M by 12.3.
  3. Tulsa at Arkansas · 26 SepOur number has Arkansas by 0.4.
  4. Georgia at Arkansas · 19 SepThe Georgia vs Arkansas recap delivered the preview’s spread thesis almost exactly.
  5. Arkansas at Utah · 12 SepThe Arkansas vs Utah recap punished bettors who expected nearly two touchdowns of protection to keep the Razorbacks competitive.

Southeastern Conference