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Vanderbilt Commodores

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The Commodores covered 10 of 12 games in 2025; one FBS team covered more often and one matched. Vanderbilt football went 7-0 at home, favored in every one of those games.

Ten covers

Vanderbilt finished 10-2 and 10-2 against the spread. Only one FBS team covered a higher share; one matched. The two misses: 55-35 over Utah State at -24.5, and the 14-30 loss at Alabama getting 13.5.

The Commodores 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v Charleston Southern Buccaneers 45-32025-09-06 at Virginia Tech Hokies 44-202025-09-13 at South Carolina Gamecocks 31-72025-09-20 v Georgia State Panthers 70-212025-09-27 v Utah State Aggies 55-352025-10-04 at Alabama Crimson Tide 14-302025-10-18 v LSU Tigers 31-242025-10-25 v Missouri Tigers 17-102025-11-01 at Texas Longhorns 31-342025-11-08 v Auburn Tigers 45-382025-11-22 v Kentucky Wildcats 45-172025-11-29 at Tennessee Volunteers 45-24Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
10-2 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home and favored

Seven home games: seven wins and six covers. That home cover rate was bettered by four FBS teams and equalled by five. Every favorite game was a home game. The six with a moneyline returned 2.31 units, a favorite-side return bettered by nine FBS teams. The tight ones: 31-24 over LSU laying 1.5 and 17-10 over Missouri laying 3.5.

The Commodores at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 7 (100.0%)covered 6 of 7 (85.7%)Away (5)won 3 (60.0%)covered 4 of 5 (80.0%)Favorite (7)won 7 (100.0%)covered 6 of 7 (85.7%)Underdog (5)won 3 (60.0%)covered 4 of 5 (80.0%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Road underdog

All five away games came as the underdog. Three wins: 44-20 at Virginia Tech at +110, 31-7 at South Carolina at +125 and 45-24 at Tennessee as 2.5-point underdogs (no moneyline was posted). The 31-34 loss at Texas still covered 3.5. Four covers in five; the four priced games returned 0.35 units.

One unit on the Commodores to win, every game0+1+2+2.66 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 10 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

The over cashed eight times in 12; eight FBS teams saw a higher share and eight shared Vanderbilt’s rate. Vanderbilt scored 39.42 a game, with only seven FBS teams scoring more, and allowed 21.92.

The season ended with a 27-34 loss to Iowa in the ReliaQuest Bowl.

Questions and answers

How often did Vanderbilt beat the spread in 2025?

Ten times in 12, a rate topped by one FBS team and matched by one.

What was Vanderbilt’s home record in 2025?

7-0, with six covers.

How did Vanderbilt do as an underdog?

3-2 straight up and 4-1 against the spread, all five on the road.

Past games

  1. Vanderbilt at Georgia · 3 OctOur number has Georgia by 8.8.
  2. Vanderbilt at Auburn · 26 SepOur number has Vanderbilt by 1.6.

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