Texas A&M Aggies

The Aggies won their first 11 games of 2025 and covered the spread in only five of 12. Texas A&M was favored 11 times and covered four of them.

Winning without covering

An 11-1 record put Texas A&M near the top of FBS: only five teams won a larger share, and two matched. The spread record was 5-7. At home the Aggies went 7-0 and covered twice; 18 FBS teams covered a smaller share at home, and six matched. The home misses: 42-24 over UTSA at -23.5, 44-22 over Utah State at -34.5, 16-10 over Auburn at -6.5, 31-30 over South Carolina at -16.5 and 48-0 over Samford at -53.5. The covers were 31-9 over Mississippi State at -17.5 and 34-17 over Florida at -6.5.

Where the moneyline paid

Nine games carried a price; Utah State, Samford and the Texas game did not. One unit on the Aggies in each returned 5.1, a figure only ten FBS teams beat. The single underdog game, 41-40 at Notre Dame at +240, paid 2.4 of it. The eight priced favorite games made 2.7, and only four FBS teams made more as favorites.

On the road

Four wins in five, three covers: Notre Dame, 49-25 at LSU at -1.5 and 38-17 at Missouri at -6.5. The miss in a win was 45-42 at Arkansas at -8.5. The one loss ended the run, 17-27 at Texas as a 2.5-point favorite.

The total

The over came in eight times in 12; eight FBS teams posted a higher over rate and eight the same one.

Texas A&M lost its College Football Playoff first-round game 3-10 to Miami.

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