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Missouri Tigers

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College FootballSat 10 Oct
Texas A&M Aggies
at
Missouri Tigers
SpreadTotalMoneyTA&M+3.5U 48.5+145MIZ-3.5O 48.5-175
Our call

Our number has Missouri by 6.6. At -3.5, take Missouri, and no higher.

Texas A&M at Missouri · 10 OctMissouri -3.5
Grant WellerRead the predictionTexas A&M at Missouri prediction

The Missouri Tigers went 8-0 as favorites and 0-4 as underdogs in 2025. Only nine FBS teams had a worse cover rate as underdogs than Missouri’s one in four, and three had the same.

The split

Missouri finished 8-4 and 7-5 against the spread. As a favorite it won all eight and covered six. As an underdog it lost all four and covered once, 27-24 to Alabama at +3.5. The other three were 17-10 at Vanderbilt at +3.5, 38-17 to Texas A&M at +6.5 and 17-6 at Oklahoma at +4.5.

The Tigers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (8)won 6 (75.0%)covered 5 of 8 (62.5%)Away (4)won 2 (50.0%)covered 2 of 4 (50.0%)Favorite (8)won 8 (100.0%)covered 6 of 8 (75.0%)Underdog (4)won 0 (0.0%)covered 1 of 4 (25.0%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

On the moneyline the five priced favorite games made 1.88 units, and only 14 FBS teams made more as favorites. The four underdog games lost 4.0, so the nine priced games together finished 2.12 down.

One unit on the Tigers to win, every game0-2-1-2.12 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 9 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Five at home to start

The first five games were all at home and all wins. Three covered; the misses were 29-20 over South Carolina at -10.5 and 42-6 over Massachusetts at -44.5. The only road wins came at Auburn, 23-17 laying 1.5, and at Arkansas, 31-17 laying 4.5. Missouri allowed 19.42 points a game; 20 FBS teams allowed fewer and one the same.

The Tigers 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-28 v Central Arkansas Bears 61-62025-09-06 v Kansas Jayhawks 42-312025-09-13 v Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 52-102025-09-20 v South Carolina Gamecocks 29-202025-09-27 v Massachusetts Minutemen 42-62025-10-11 v Alabama Crimson Tide 24-272025-10-18 at Auburn Tigers 23-172025-10-25 at Vanderbilt Commodores 10-172025-11-08 v Texas A&M Aggies 17-382025-11-15 v Mississippi State Bulldogs 49-272025-11-22 at Oklahoma Sooners 6-172025-11-29 at Arkansas Razorbacks 31-17Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
8-4 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Missouri games went over in seven of the 11 with a posted total, an over rate beaten by 17 FBS teams and equalled by two.

Virginia beat Missouri 13-7 in the Gator Bowl.

Questions and answers

Did Missouri ever win as an underdog in 2025?

No: 0-4, with one cover, at home against Alabama.

What did the Missouri moneyline return as a favorite?

1.88 units over five priced games.

Do Missouri games go over the total?

Seven of the 11 with a total did in 2025.

Past games

  1. Florida at Missouri · 3 OctOur number has Missouri by 13.5.
  2. Missouri at Mississippi St · 26 SepOur number has Mississippi State by 0.1, a coin flip.
  3. Troy at Missouri · 19 SepThe Missouri vs Troy recap rewarded under bettors but gave the favorite plenty to think about.
  4. Missouri at Kansas · 11 SepNo.
  5. Missouri at Kansas · 11 SepThe Missouri vs Kansas recap never developed into the one-possession rivalry game ScoresAndStats projected.

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