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Florida Gators

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College FootballSat 10 Oct
South Carolina Gamecocks
at
Florida Gators
SpreadTotalMoneySC+11.5U 59.5+360FLA-11.5O 59.5-470
Our call

No bet on Florida -11.5. Our number has Florida by 12.1, and the line is 0.6 points from it.

South Carolina at Florida · 10 OctNo bet
Grant WellerRead the predictionSouth Carolina at Florida prediction

Florida football went 0-5 in true road games in 2025, with a single cover among them. At home the Gators went 4-2, with a 29-21 upset of Texas at +165.

Five trips, five losses

Florida went 4-8 straight up and 5-7 against the spread. Every road game was a loss: 20-10 at LSU, 26-7 at Miami, 34-17 at Texas A&M, 38-7 at Kentucky as 5.5-point favorites, and 34-24 at Ole Miss, the one road cover at +11.5. That road cover rate left six FBS teams below it and seven level with it. A unit on the Gators in each road game lost all five.

The Gators at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 4 (66.7%)covered 3 of 6 (50.0%)Away (5)won 0 (0.0%)covered 1 of 5 (20.0%)Favorite (4)won 2 (50.0%)covered 1 of 4 (25.0%)Underdog (8)won 2 (25.0%)covered 4 of 8 (50.0%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home was close to even

At home Florida won four of six. The four priced home games netted 0.06 units down: the Texas upset at +165 and a 23-21 win over Mississippi State against losses of 18-16 to South Florida at -1000 and 31-11 to Tennessee. The season ended with a 40-21 home win over Florida State, a game with no moneyline posted.

One unit on the Gators to win, every game0-6-4-2-6.06 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 10 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Across all ten priced games the moneyline lost 6.06 units; 15 FBS teams lost more. November cost the most, four priced losses and four units; September cost three.

The Gators 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v Long Island University Sharks 55-02025-09-06 v South Florida Bulls 16-182025-09-13 at LSU Tigers 10-202025-09-20 at Miami Hurricanes 7-262025-10-04 v Texas Longhorns 29-212025-10-11 at Texas A&M Aggies 17-342025-10-18 v Mississippi State Bulldogs 23-212025-11-01 v Georgia Bulldogs 20-242025-11-08 at Kentucky Wildcats 7-382025-11-15 at Ole Miss Rebels 24-342025-11-22 v Tennessee Volunteers 11-312025-11-29 v Florida State Seminoles 40-21Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
4-8 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Underdog spreads and the total

As an underdog Florida covered four of eight, the 24-20 loss to Georgia on a neutral field at +6.5 among them. On the total, the under took seven.

Questions and answers

How did Florida bet away from home in 2025?

Five road losses, one cover, and a unit lost on every road moneyline.

How did Florida do at home in 2025?

4-2 straight up; the four priced home games finished 0.06 moneyline units down.

What was Florida’s biggest upset in 2025?

29-21 over Texas at +165.

Past games

  1. Florida at Missouri · 3 OctOur number has Missouri by 13.5.
  2. Rebels at Florida · 26 SepOur number has Florida by 1.1.

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