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Florida State Seminoles

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Florida State football lost and failed to cover in all five of its 2025 road games, while going 5-2 against the spread at home. Only three FBS teams lost more on the moneyline backing themselves as favorites than the Seminoles.

Two seasons in one

Florida State finished the 2025 regular season 5-7, and the split runs by venue. At home the Seminoles were 5-2, with five covers. Away, Florida State lost all five and covered none; only one other FBS team went the whole season without a road cover.

The Seminoles at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 5 (71.4%)covered 5 of 7 (71.4%)Away (5)won 0 (0.0%)covered 0 of 5 (0.0%)Favorite (9)won 4 (44.4%)covered 4 of 9 (44.4%)Underdog (3)won 1 (33.3%)covered 1 of 3 (33.3%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Four of the five road losses came as favorites: 46-38 at Virginia laying 6.5, 20-13 at Stanford laying 17.5, 21-11 at NC State laying 6.5, and 40-21 at Florida laying 1.5. The fifth was 24-10 at Clemson as 1.5-point underdogs.

The opener and after

The season opened with a 31-17 home win over Alabama at +450, a cover by 27.5 points of a 13.5-point line, and 4.5 units for one staked. October went 0-3, straight up and against the spread: 28-22 to Miami, 34-31 to Pittsburgh as 11.5-point favorites, then Stanford.

The Seminoles 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v Alabama Crimson Tide 31-172025-09-06 v East Texas A&M Lions 77-32025-09-20 v Kent State Golden Flashes 66-102025-09-26 at Virginia Cavaliers 38-462025-10-04 v Miami Hurricanes 22-282025-10-11 v Pittsburgh Panthers 31-342025-10-18 at Stanford Cardinal 13-202025-11-01 v Wake Forest Demon Deacons 42-72025-11-08 at Clemson Tigers 10-242025-11-15 v Virginia Tech Hokies 34-142025-11-21 at NC State Wolfpack 11-212025-11-29 at Florida Gators 21-40Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
5-7 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

As favorites

Nine games as favorite, 4-5 straight up and 4-5 against the spread. Six had a moneyline, and one unit on Florida State in each lost 3.68 units; three FBS teams did worse as favorites. The Stanford loss came at -1200. Across all nine priced games the season ended 1.18 units down, the Alabama win included; the two blowout home wins and the Florida game had no moneyline.

One unit on the Seminoles to win, every game0-1+1+2+3+4-1.18 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 9 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Against the total Florida State broke even at six and six: 33.0 points scored a game, 22.0 allowed.

Questions and answers

Did the Seminoles cover anywhere away from home in 2025?

No: 0-5, matched by one other FBS team and by none worse.

How did Florida State do at home in 2025?

5-2 straight up, 5-2 against the spread, and 2.82 units up on the five home games with a moneyline.

How did Florida State do as a favorite in 2025?

4-5, with four covers, and 3.68 units down on the six with a moneyline.

Past games

  1. Virginia at Florida St · 3 OctOur number has Florida State by 5.4.
  2. Bears at Florida St · 26 SepNo bet.
  3. Florida St at Alabama · 19 SepThe Alabama vs Florida State recap became a completely different game after Florida State built a 21-6 lead.

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