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Clemson Tigers

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Clemson laid points ten times in 2025 and covered three; backing the Tigers at the favorite’s price lost 3.9 units, a deeper hole than all but one FBS team. Both times the Tigers were underdogs, they won outright.

The price on the favorite

Clemson went 7-5 and 5-7 against the spread. The damage was done as the favorite: ten games, five wins, three covers. Eight of the ten carried a moneyline, and backing the Tigers in them lost 3.9 units. One FBS team lost more on its favorite price.

The Tigers 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v LSU Tigers 10-172025-09-06 v Troy Trojans 27-162025-09-13 at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 21-242025-09-20 v Syracuse Orange 21-342025-10-04 at North Carolina Tar Heels 38-102025-10-11 at Boston College Eagles 41-102025-10-18 v SMU Mustangs 24-352025-11-01 v Duke Blue Devils 45-462025-11-08 v Florida State Seminoles 24-102025-11-14 at Louisville Cardinals 20-192025-11-22 v Furman Paladins 45-102025-11-29 at South Carolina Gamecocks 28-14Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
7-5 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Four of the five losses came at home as favorites: 10-17 to LSU at -200, 21-34 to Syracuse as 17.5-point favorites at -900, 24-35 to SMU at -195 and 45-46 to Duke at -185. The fifth was 21-24 at Georgia Tech at -150.

Home and away

At home Clemson covered once in seven games, a 24-10 win over Florida State laying 1.5. Only two FBS teams covered less often at home; one matched it. On the road the Tigers went 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the number.

The Tigers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 3 (42.9%)covered 1 of 7 (14.3%)Away (5)won 4 (80.0%)covered 4 of 5 (80.0%)Favorite (10)won 5 (50.0%)covered 3 of 10 (30.0%)Underdog (2)won 2 (100.0%)covered 2 of 2 (100.0%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Getting points

Two games, two outright wins: 20-19 at Louisville at +110 and 28-14 at South Carolina at +114 to close the regular season. Those two returned 2.24 units; across the ten priced games the moneyline still finished 1.66 down.

By month

September was the low: 1-2 straight up and no covers in three. November went 4-1 and covered three of five.

The total

Eight unders in 12 games, a share beaten by nine FBS teams and tied by nine. Clemson allowed 20.42 points a game and scored 28.67.

The season ended in the Pinstripe Bowl, a 10-22 loss to Penn State.

Questions and answers

Does Clemson cover when favored?

Rarely in 2025: 3 covers in 10 games as favorites, and 3.9 units lost on the moneyline in the eight that had one.

Does Clemson cover at home?

Once in seven home games in 2025.

How did Clemson do as an underdog?

2-0 straight up and against the spread, 2.24 units up.

Past games

  1. Miami at Clemson · 3 OctOur number has Miami by 6.7.
  2. Clemson at California · 25 SepOur number has Clemson by 5.5.

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