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SMU Mustangs

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The SMU Mustangs won six of nine games as favorites in 2025 and covered the spread in only three. Eight of their 12 games stayed under the total, and the moneyline paid best when they were the underdog.

Favored, short of the number

SMU went 8-4 and 5-7 against the spread. Laying points, the Mustangs won six of nine and covered three. The first four lined games all missed, the big ones included: 42-13 over East Texas A&M at -50.5, 28-10 at Missouri State at -28.5. The three losses as favorites were 48-45 to Baylor at -2.5, 13-12 at Wake Forest at -5.5 and 38-35 at California at -13.5, a -600 moneyline.

The Mustangs 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v East Texas A&M Lions 42-132025-09-06 v Baylor Bears 45-482025-09-13 at Missouri State Bears 28-102025-09-20 at TCU Horned Frogs 24-352025-10-04 v Syracuse Orange 31-182025-10-11 v Stanford Cardinal 34-102025-10-18 at Clemson Tigers 35-242025-10-25 at Wake Forest Demon Deacons 12-132025-11-01 v Miami Hurricanes 26-202025-11-08 at Boston College Eagles 45-132025-11-22 v Louisville Cardinals 38-62025-11-29 at California Golden Bears 35-38Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
8-4 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

As underdogs

Three games, two wins: 35-24 at Clemson at +165 and 26-20 over Miami at +210. The third was a 35-24 loss at TCU at +6.5. One unit on SMU in those three returned 2.75; only 19 FBS teams made more on the moneyline as underdogs.

The Mustangs at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 5 (83.3%)covered 3 of 6 (50.0%)Away (6)won 3 (50.0%)covered 2 of 6 (33.3%)Favorite (9)won 6 (66.7%)covered 3 of 9 (33.3%)Underdog (3)won 2 (66.7%)covered 2 of 3 (66.7%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The moneyline

Eleven games carried a price. One unit on SMU every time finished 0.75 up. The eight priced favorite games lost 2.0 of it, and the September games lost 1.98.

One unit on the Mustangs to win, every game0-1+1+0.75 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 11 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Eight of 12 went under. That under rate ranked tenth in FBS, shared with nine other teams. SMU allowed 20.67 points a game.

The season ended with a 24-19 Holiday Bowl win over Arizona.

Questions and answers

Did SMU cover as a favorite in 2025?

Three times in nine.

Is the under the side in SMU games?

It was in eight of 12 in 2025.

What did SMU return as a moneyline underdog?

2.75 units over three games, from the wins at Clemson and over Miami.

Past games

  1. Boston College at SMU · 3 OctOur number has SMU by 12.2.
  2. Missouri St at SMU · 26 SepOur number has SMU by 14.6.
  3. SMU at Louisville · 19 SepThe SMU Mustangs visit the Louisville Cardinals on Saturday, September 19, 2026, with Kevin Jennings and Lincoln Kienholz projected to lead…
  4. Aggies at SMU · 12 SepThe UC Davis vs SMU recap showed exactly why short-rest concerns can disappear when the favorite’s quarterback advantage is overwhelming.

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