Missouri State Bears

Away from home the Bears returned 5.18 units on the moneyline in 2025, a figure only three FBS teams beat. Missouri State finished 7-5, covered seven of 12, and eight of its games went under the total.

On the road

Missouri State went 4-2 away. Two of the wins came as underdogs, 21-20 at Marshall at +225 and 21-17 at Liberty at +250, and two as small favorites, 22-20 at Middle Tennessee and 24-17 at New Mexico State, both at -140. Five road games carried a price; the opener at USC, lost 13-73, did not. The one priced road loss was 34-41 at Kennesaw State at +180.

At home it ran the other way: 3-3 straight up and 1.96 units down over five priced games, though the Bears covered four of six there. The last game of the regular season was a 30-42 home loss to Louisiana Tech at -2.5.

Under, then over

Eight of 12 went under, and eight in a row did, from Marshall on 6 September to Liberty on 8 November. On the under, Missouri State trailed nine FBS teams and tied nine. The last three games, UTEP, Kennesaw State and Louisiana Tech, all went over.

Against the spread

Seven covers in 12: four of six as a favorite, three of six as an underdog. The underdog covers were Marshall, Liberty and a 10-28 loss to SMU at +28.5. Across ten priced games the moneyline came to 3.22 units, and 24 FBS teams did better.

The Bears lost the Xbox Bowl 28-34 to Arkansas State.

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