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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

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The Blue Raiders lost all three October games in 2025 and covered all three, by losing by two, three and three points as underdogs. Middle Tennessee football finished 3-9 straight up and 6-6 against the spread.

Losing close, covering

Middle Tennessee went 3-9 in the 2025 regular season and 6-6 against the spread. It was an underdog nine times, more than all but 12 FBS teams (14 shared the count), and went 2-7 straight up but 5-4 against the line in those games.

The Raiders 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v Austin Peay Governors 14-342025-09-06 at Wisconsin Badgers 10-422025-09-13 at Nevada Wolf Pack 14-132025-09-20 v Marshall Thundering Herd 28-422025-09-27 at Kennesaw State Owls 16-242025-10-08 v Missouri State Bears 20-222025-10-22 at Delaware Blue Hens 28-312025-10-29 v Jacksonville State Gamecocks 21-242025-11-08 v Florida International Panthers 30-562025-11-15 at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 26-422025-11-22 v Sam Houston Bearkats 31-172025-11-29 at New Mexico State Aggies 31-24Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
3-9 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

October held the pattern in three games. The Blue Raiders lost 22-20 to Missouri State getting 2.5, 31-28 at Delaware getting 9.5 and 24-21 to Jacksonville State getting 4.5: no wins, three covers, and 3.00 units lost on the moneyline.

Home was the drain

At home Middle Tennessee went 1-5, and one unit on the six priced home games lost 4.58; only six FBS teams lost more there. The season opened with a 34-14 home loss as a 16.5-point favorite, and FIU won 56-30 there with the Blue Raiders at -125. The only home win was 31-17 over Sam Houston at -240.

The Raiders at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 1 (16.7%)covered 3 of 6 (50.0%)Away (6)won 2 (33.3%)covered 3 of 6 (50.0%)Favorite (3)won 1 (33.3%)covered 1 of 3 (33.3%)Underdog (9)won 2 (22.2%)covered 5 of 9 (55.6%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The road paid

The five priced road games made 1.05 units, from two wins at long prices: 14-13 at Nevada at +270 and 31-24 at New Mexico State at +135. Over the full season the 11 priced games came to 3.53 units down.

One unit on the Raiders to win, every game0-4-2-3.53 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 11 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total split 6-6. Middle Tennessee scored 22.42 a game and allowed 30.92.

Questions and answers

How did Middle Tennessee do as an underdog in 2025?

2-7 straight up, 5-4 against the spread.

What did the Middle Tennessee home moneyline return?

A loss of 4.58 units over six priced games.

Did Middle Tennessee cover in October?

In all three games, while losing each by three points or fewer.

Past games

  1. MTSU at Kansas · 3 OctOur number has Kansas by 5.2.
  2. MTSU at Jax State · 26 SepOur number has Jacksonville State by 6.7, and the line is 7.

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