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New Mexico State Aggies

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The New Mexico State Aggies were underdogs in ten of 12 games in 2025, and only five FBS teams were underdogs more often. They covered six of those ten, and neither of the two games in which they were favored.

Ten games getting points

New Mexico State went 4-8 and covered 6 of 12, all six as the underdog. Three of those were outright wins: 21-14 over Tulsa at +135, 37-10 over Sam Houston at +105, and 34-31 at UTEP at +170. Two more covers came in three-point losses with 11.5 points in hand, 27-30 at Liberty and 21-24 to Kennesaw State. The sixth was 9-42 at Tennessee, a 41.5-point line.

The Aggies 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v Bryant Bulldogs 19-32025-09-06 v Tulsa Golden Hurricane 21-142025-09-13 at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 14-492025-09-27 at New Mexico Lobos 20-382025-10-02 v Sam Houston Bearkats 37-102025-10-14 at Liberty Flames 27-302025-10-22 v Missouri State Bears 17-242025-11-01 at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 16-352025-11-08 v Kennesaw State Owls 21-242025-11-15 at Tennessee Volunteers 9-422025-11-22 at UTEP Miners 34-312025-11-29 v Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 24-31Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
4-8 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The underdog moneyline still lost 1.9 units over nine priced games, because the six losses outweighed three wins at modest prices.

Favored twice, covered neither

We would treat an Aggies favorite line with care. The first was a 19-3 win over Bryant at -19.5, short of the number. The second was the season finale, 24-31 to Middle Tennessee at -3.5 and -155. New Mexico State was one of 11 FBS teams that did not cover once as a favorite.

The Aggies at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 3 (50.0%)covered 3 of 6 (50.0%)Away (6)won 1 (16.7%)covered 3 of 6 (50.0%)Favorite (2)won 1 (50.0%)covered 0 of 2 (0.0%)Underdog (10)won 3 (30.0%)covered 6 of 10 (60.0%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Road and November

The Aggies won one road game in six, at UTEP, and the road moneyline lost 2.3 units over five priced games. November went 1-4 straight up but 3-2 against the spread. The Aggies’ full moneyline, 11 priced games, ended 2.8 units down.

One unit on the Aggies to win, every game0-3-2-1+1-2.80 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 11 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

The Aggies went under seven times and over five.

Questions and answers

How did New Mexico State do as an underdog in 2025?

Six covers in ten games and three outright wins, at +135, +105 and +170.

Did New Mexico State cover as a favorite in 2025?

No: it was favored twice and covered neither.

Did backing the Aggies to win pay in 2025?

No: 2.8 units down over 11 priced games, despite three underdog wins.

Past games

  1. New Mexico St at FIU · 7 OctNo bet
  2. Western KY at New Mexico St · 1 OctOur number has New Mexico State by 7.4.
  3. New Mexico at New Mexico St · 26 SepOur number has New Mexico State by 1.8.

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