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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

College Football5 predictions

Western Kentucky football covered the spread in nine of 12 games in 2025, and only seven FBS teams covered more often, with two level. Backing the Hilltoppers to win every game, all 12 of them priced, still made only 0.73 units.

Nine covers in twelve

WKU went 8-4 and 9-3 against the spread; seven FBS teams had a better cover rate and two had the same. At home the Hilltoppers covered five of six, a rate ten FBS teams beat and seven matched. The one home miss was a 25-6 loss to Florida International as 9.5-point favorites at -380.

The Hilltoppers 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-23 v Sam Houston Bearkats 41-242025-08-30 v North Alabama Lions 55-62025-09-06 at Toledo Rockets 21-452025-09-20 v Nevada Wolf Pack 31-162025-09-27 at Missouri State Bears 27-222025-10-03 at Delaware Blue Hens 27-242025-10-14 v Florida International Panthers 6-252025-10-21 at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 28-272025-11-01 v New Mexico State Aggies 35-162025-11-15 v Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 42-262025-11-22 at LSU Tigers 10-132025-11-29 at Jacksonville State Gamecocks 34-37Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
8-4 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Short prices

The eight favorite games went 6-2 and covered six, yet one unit on WKU in them finished 0.32 down. The wins were priced short: 55-6 over North Alabama at -4000 paid 0.03, 42-26 over Middle Tennessee at -700 paid 0.14. The two losses cost a full unit each: the FIU game, and 37-34 at Jacksonville State at -120.

One unit on the Hilltoppers to win, every game0+1+2+0.73 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 12 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

As underdogs

Getting points four times, WKU won two, covered three and made 1.05 units: 27-24 at Delaware at +130 and 28-27 at Louisiana Tech at +175. The 13-10 loss at LSU covered +25.5; the 45-21 loss at Toledo at +7.5 did not.

The Hilltoppers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 5 (83.3%)covered 5 of 6 (83.3%)Away (6)won 3 (50.0%)covered 4 of 6 (66.7%)Favorite (8)won 6 (75.0%)covered 6 of 8 (75.0%)Underdog (4)won 2 (50.0%)covered 3 of 4 (75.0%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Six overs, six unders.

In the New Orleans Bowl WKU beat Southern Miss 27-16.

Questions and answers

How often did Western Kentucky cover in 2025?

Nine times in 12, a rate seven FBS teams beat and two equalled.

Were the Hilltoppers a home cover in 2025?

Five times in six home games.

What did a unit on Western Kentucky to win return in 2025?

0.73 units over 12 priced games.

College Football teams