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Southern Miss Golden Eagles

College Football2 predictions

Southern Miss football covered six of seven games across September and October 2025, then missed all four in November. The Golden Eagles were favored in their last three regular-season games and lost all three.

Two halves

Southern Miss finished the regular season 7-5, with six covers and six misses. The level line was two runs: 6-1 against the Southern Miss spread across September and October, with a 38-35 win at Georgia Southern at -2.5 among the covers, then 0-4 in November. The five-game winning streak ran from late September into November.

The Eagles 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v Mississippi State Bulldogs 17-342025-09-06 v Jackson State Tigers 38-202025-09-13 v App State Mountaineers 38-222025-09-20 at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 20-302025-09-27 v Jacksonville State Gamecocks 42-252025-10-09 at Georgia Southern Eagles 38-352025-10-18 at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 22-102025-10-25 v UL Monroe Warhawks 49-212025-11-08 at Arkansas State Red Wolves 27-212025-11-15 v Texas State Bobcats 14-412025-11-22 at South Alabama Jaguars 35-422025-11-29 v Troy Trojans 18-28Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
7-5 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Favored, and beaten

The last three games were losses as favorites: 14-41 against Texas State at -3.5, 35-42 at South Alabama at -2.5 and 18-28 against Troy at -6.5. The moneyline lost 2.58 units that month. Across the season the Golden Eagles were favored nine times, won six and covered five.

The Eagles at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 4 (57.1%)covered 4 of 7 (57.1%)Away (5)won 3 (60.0%)covered 2 of 5 (40.0%)Favorite (9)won 6 (66.7%)covered 5 of 9 (55.6%)Underdog (3)won 1 (33.3%)covered 1 of 3 (33.3%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The moneyline

Every Golden Eagles game was priced, and backing Southern Miss in all 12 finished 1.27 units down. The best price won was 38-22 over App State at +125. At home Southern Miss covered four times in seven tries.

One unit on the Eagles to win, every game0-1+1-1.27 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 12 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Six over, six under for the Golden Eagles, so no lean. The season ended with a 16-27 loss to Western Kentucky in the New Orleans Bowl.

Questions and answers

How often did Southern Miss cover in 2025?

Six times in 12: six of seven in September and October, none of four in November.

How did Southern Miss do when favored in 2025?

The Golden Eagles won six of nine and covered five, losing the last three.

What did the Southern Miss moneyline return in 2025?

A loss of 1.27 units across the 12 games.

Past games

  1. Southern Miss at Troy · 6 OctSouthern Miss +10.5
  2. Southern Miss at Tulane · 26 SepOur number has Tulane by 8.6.

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