Arkansas State Red Wolves

The Arkansas State Red Wolves lost all four September games in 2025 and then won three straight in October, two of them as underdogs at +425 and +270. One unit on every game finished 5.24 units up, and only nine FBS teams did better.

September down, October up

Arkansas State went 6-6 and covered 7 of 12. September went 0-4 and lost four units: 14-56 at Arkansas, 16-24 to Iowa State, 21-28 at Kennesaw State as 4.5-point favorites and 16-28 at UL Monroe. October went 3-0, covered all three and returned 7.86 units: 31-30 over Texas State at +425 as 14.5-point underdogs, 15-14 at South Alabama at +270, and 34-24 over Georgia Southern.

Underdogs worth the price

We would look at the Red Wolves’ price when they are getting points. As underdogs they won three of seven and covered five; the third win was 23-10 at Troy at +240. One unit on every underdog game returned 5.35 units, a figure only seven FBS underdogs bettered. The Iowa State loss still covered with 20.5 points.

Home covers, road misses

At home Arkansas State covered five of six, a rate only ten FBS teams beat; on the road it covered two of six. Straight up both were 3-3. As favorites the Red Wolves went 3-2 and covered two, and the favorite moneyline finished 0.11 units down.

The total

All eight Red Wolves unders came in a row, from 13 September to 8 November. Only nine FBS teams went under at a higher rate.

The season ended in the Xbox Bowl, a 34-28 win over Missouri State.

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