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Louisiana State Tigers

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The LSU Tigers played to the under nine times in 12 games in 2025, a share three FBS teams topped. They covered four times; nine FBS teams had a lower rate.

Under, and under the number

LSU went 7-5 and covered 4 of 12. Nine games went under and three over, and one other FBS team matched the rate. The Tigers allowed 18.33 points a game and scored 21.83, and five of their seven wins were by ten points or fewer.

The Tigers 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 at Clemson Tigers 17-102025-09-06 v Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 23-72025-09-13 v Florida Gators 20-102025-09-20 v SE Louisiana Lions 56-102025-09-27 at Ole Miss Rebels 19-242025-10-11 v South Carolina Gamecocks 20-102025-10-18 at Vanderbilt Commodores 24-312025-10-25 v Texas A&M Aggies 25-492025-11-08 at Alabama Crimson Tide 9-202025-11-15 v Arkansas Razorbacks 23-222025-11-22 v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 13-102025-11-29 at Oklahoma Sooners 13-17Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
7-5 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Favored six times, covered twice

We would ask how big an LSU favorite line is before anything else. The Tigers won all six games they were favored in and covered two: 20-10 over Florida at -5.5 and 20-10 over South Carolina at -8.5. The misses included 23-22 over Arkansas at -4.5, 13-10 over Western Kentucky at -25.5 and 23-7 over Louisiana Tech at -36.5. LSU’s four priced favorite games returned 1.27 units. At home LSU went 6-1 but covered only 2 of 7.

The Tigers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 6 (85.7%)covered 2 of 7 (28.6%)Away (5)won 1 (20.0%)covered 2 of 5 (40.0%)Favorite (6)won 6 (100.0%)covered 2 of 6 (33.3%)Underdog (6)won 1 (16.7%)covered 2 of 6 (33.3%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Short underdogs that lost

As underdogs LSU won once, 17-10 at Clemson at +170 in the opener, and covered twice; the other cover was 13-17 at Oklahoma with 12.5 points. Three straight underdog games went the other way: 24-31 at Vanderbilt and 25-49 to Texas A&M, both with 1.5 points, then 9-20 at Alabama with 10.5. The six priced underdog games lost 3.3 units, and all ten priced games together lost 2.03.

One unit on the Tigers to win, every game0-2-1+1+2-2.03 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 10 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The season ended in the Texas Bowl, a 35-38 loss to Houston.

Questions and answers

Are LSU games usually unders?

Nine of 12 were in 2025; three FBS teams went under more often.

What was LSU’s spread record in 2025?

4-8, with nine FBS teams below it.

Did LSU win as a favorite in 2025?

Every time, six of six, but it covered only two.

Past games

  1. Cowboys at Tigers · 3 OctOur number has LSU by 22.8.
  2. Texas A&M at Tigers · 26 SepOur number is LSU by 1.6.
  3. Tigers at Rebels · 19 SepThe LSU vs Ole Miss recap turned twice.
  4. Tigers at Louisiana Tech · 12 SepThe Louisiana Tech vs LSU recap gave bettors an unusual two-market result.

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