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San Diego State Aztecs

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One unit on the Aztecs in every priced game of 2025 returned 5.74, a figure only seven FBS teams beat. San Diego State football covered all five home games that had a line, and eight of its 11 totals went under.

A moneyline that paid

San Diego State’s 2025 regular season finished 9-3, and backing the Aztecs blind on the moneyline returned 5.74 units over 11 priced games; seven FBS teams did better. Most of it came at home, 5.86 units from six games, behind only four FBS teams. As favorites the Aztecs made 2.74 from nine priced games, which only three FBS teams topped.

One unit on the Aztecs to win, every game0+2+4+5.74 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 11 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The single biggest return was the 34-0 win over California at +400, getting 13.5: 4.0 units, more than September’s 3.83 as a whole.

Against the spread

Eight covers in 11 lined games, 72.7%; ten FBS teams covered more often and one matched. At home the record was 5-0 against the line, a perfect rate shared with three other FBS teams. October went 3-0 both ways. The three losses were 36-13 at Washington State at +105, 38-6 at Hawai’i at -250 and 23-17 at New Mexico at -1.5.

The Aztecs 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-28 v Stony Brook Seawolves 42-02025-09-06 at Washington State Cougars 13-362025-09-20 v California Golden Bears 34-02025-09-27 at Northern Illinois Huskies 6-32025-10-03 v Colorado State Rams 45-242025-10-11 at Nevada Wolf Pack 44-102025-10-25 at Fresno State Bulldogs 23-02025-11-01 v Wyoming Cowboys 24-72025-11-08 at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 6-382025-11-15 v Boise State Broncos 17-72025-11-22 v San José State Spartans 25-32025-11-28 at New Mexico Lobos 17-23Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
9-3 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Low totals

The Aztecs allowed 12.58 points a game, fewer than all but four FBS teams, and shut out three opponents, including Fresno State 23-0 on the road. Of 11 lined totals, eight stayed under, 72.7%; only five FBS teams went under more often. They scored 24.67 a game.

The Aztecs at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 6 (100.0%)covered 5 of 5 (100.0%)Away (6)won 3 (50.0%)covered 3 of 6 (50.0%)Favorite (10)won 8 (80.0%)covered 7 of 9 (77.8%)Underdog (2)won 1 (50.0%)covered 1 of 2 (50.0%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The season ended with a 49-47 loss to North Texas in the New Mexico Bowl.

Questions and answers

Does San Diego State cover at home?

It covered all five lined home games in 2025.

Do San Diego State games go under?

In 2025, eight of 11 did, a rate topped by five FBS sides.

What did the San Diego State moneyline return?

5.74 units across 11 priced games; seven FBS teams made more.

Past games

  1. Texas St at San Diego St · 3 OctOur number has San Diego State by 10.8.
  2. San Diego St at Toledo · 26 SepOur number has Toledo by 15.5.

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