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California Golden Bears

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The California Golden Bears topped all 136 FBS teams on the moneyline in 2025: one unit on every priced game returned 11.2 units. Almost all of it came as the underdog; against the spread Cal was only 5-7.

The best moneyline in FBS

Cal went 7-5 and covered 5 of 12. Eleven of the 12 games carried a moneyline; the Texas Southern game did not. One unit on the Bears in those 11 returned 11.2 units, the best of all 136 FBS teams.

The Bears 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 at Oregon State Beavers 34-152025-09-06 v Texas Southern Tigers 35-32025-09-13 v Minnesota Golden Gophers 27-142025-09-20 at San Diego State Aztecs 0-342025-09-27 at Boston College Eagles 28-242025-10-04 v Duke Blue Devils 21-452025-10-17 v North Carolina Tar Heels 21-182025-10-24 at Virginia Tech Hokies 34-422025-11-01 v Virginia Cavaliers 21-312025-11-08 at Louisville Cardinals 29-262025-11-22 at Stanford Cardinal 10-312025-11-29 v SMU Mustangs 38-35Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
7-5 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Underdog wins at long prices

As the underdog Cal won four of seven and returned 12.2 units, again first among the 131 FBS teams that were underdogs at least once. The wins: 27-14 over Minnesota at +140, 28-24 at Boston College at +180, 29-26 at Louisville at +800 as an 18.5-point underdog, and 38-35 over SMU at +400. The Louisville and SMU games made November 2-2 straight up and 10.0 units up. Away from home the Bears returned 7.49 units over six priced games; one FBS team did better on the road.

One unit on the Bears to win, every game0+2+4+6+8+10+11.20 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 11 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Favored, and short

We would be slow to lay points with this team. Cal was favored five times and covered once, 34-15 at Oregon State. Only 16 FBS teams covered less often as favorites. The misses included 0-34 at San Diego State at -13.5 and 10-31 at Stanford at -4.5, and a 21-18 win over North Carolina that fell short of an 8.5-point line. Laying the price in the four priced favorite games cost 1.0 unit.

The Bears at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 4 (66.7%)covered 2 of 6 (33.3%)Away (6)won 3 (50.0%)covered 3 of 6 (50.0%)Favorite (5)won 3 (60.0%)covered 1 of 5 (20.0%)Underdog (7)won 4 (57.1%)covered 4 of 7 (57.1%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Spread and total

October was the empty month: 0-3 against the spread and 1-2 straight up. The total split 6-6.

The season ended in the Hawai’i Bowl, a 31-35 loss at Hawai’i.

Questions and answers

Was Cal a good moneyline bet in 2025?

Yes: 11.2 units up over 11 priced games, the most of any FBS team, 12.2 of it as the underdog.

How did Cal handle laying points in 2025?

One cover in five favored games; 16 FBS teams had a lower cover rate when favored.

What was Cal’s biggest upset in 2025?

29-26 at Louisville as an 18.5-point underdog, a +800 price.

Past games

  1. California at UNLV · 3 OctOur number has UNLV by 4.9, and the line is 2.5.
  2. Clemson at California · 25 SepOur number has Clemson by 5.5.

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