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Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors

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The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors beat the spread in six of their seven home games in 2025, and the home moneyline returned 3.21 units. Half of their eight games as underdogs ended in wins.

Six of seven at home

Hawai’i went 8-4, with eight covers. Home games went 6-1 both ways. Only four FBS teams covered a bigger share of their home games; five tied it. The only home miss was a win, 23-3 over Portland State at -36.5. The only home loss covered: 23-21 to Fresno State at +2.5. Away from home the Rainbow Warriors were 2-3 and covered two.

The Warriors at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 6 (85.7%)covered 6 of 7 (85.7%)Away (5)won 2 (40.0%)covered 2 of 5 (40.0%)Favorite (4)won 4 (100.0%)covered 3 of 4 (75.0%)Underdog (8)won 4 (50.0%)covered 5 of 8 (62.5%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

One unit on Hawai’i in the six priced home games made 3.21; 15 FBS teams made more at home. Most of it came from one game, 38-6 over San Diego State at +210.

As underdogs

Eight games, four wins, five covers. The wins: 44-35 at Air Force at +215, San Diego State, 31-19 at Colorado State at +110, and 44-26 over Utah State at +1.5. The losses included 45-38 at San José State and 38-10 at UNLV, both at +2.5. The priced underdog games returned 2.26 units.

One unit on the Warriors to win, every game0+1+2+3+4+3.46 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 11 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The season line

The moneyline across all 11 priced games finished 3.46 units up; 20 FBS teams did better. September and October together: six games, five wins, five covers.

The Warriors 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-23 v Stanford Cardinal 23-202025-08-30 at Arizona Wildcats 6-402025-09-06 v Sam Houston Bearkats 37-202025-09-13 v Portland State Vikings 23-32025-09-20 v Fresno State Bulldogs 21-232025-09-27 at Air Force Falcons 44-352025-10-11 v Utah State Aggies 44-262025-10-18 at Colorado State Rams 31-192025-11-01 at San José State Spartans 38-452025-11-08 v San Diego State Aztecs 38-62025-11-21 at UNLV Rebels 10-382025-11-29 v Wyoming Cowboys 27-7Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
8-4 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Unders won seven of the 11 totals; 19 FBS teams had a higher under rate, so no lean.

Hawai’i then beat California 35-31 in the Hawai’i Bowl.

Questions and answers

Is Hawai’i a home cover?

In 2025 it covered six of its seven home games.

Did the Rainbow Warriors win as underdogs?

Four times in eight, for 2.26 units.

Which was Hawai’i’s longest-priced win of 2025?

44-35 at Air Force at +215.

Past games

  1. San José St at Hawai'i · 3 OctOur number has Hawai'i by 12.8.
  2. Hawai'i at Wyoming · 26 SepOur number has Wyoming by 3.9.

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