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UNLV Rebels

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College FootballSat 10 Oct
North Dakota State Bison
at
UNLV Rebels
SpreadTotalMoneyBIS-3U 47.5-162UNLV+3O 47.5+136
Our call

No bet on North Dakota State -3. Our number rests on two North Dakota State road games, too few to bet.

Bison at UNLV · 10 OctNo bet
Grant WellerRead the predictionBison at UNLV prediction

Backing the Rebels as favorites returned 2.84 units in 2025, and only two FBS teams made more that way. UNLV covered five of seven away from home and two of six at home.

The favorite’s price

UNLV played 13 regular-season games, the Mountain West Championship included, and was favored in ten. It won nine of them; nine carried a price (Nevada did not). The lone loss as a favorite was 35-40 at home to New Mexico at -4.5. Against the spread the favorite games split 6-4.

One unit on the Rebels to win, every game0+1+2+3+1.99 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 12 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Better on the road

Away, five covers in seven: only 14 FBS teams covered a larger share on the road. At home, two in six. The home misses were 38-31 over Idaho State at -30.5, 51-48 over Air Force at -7.5, 29-26 over Utah State at -4.5 and the New Mexico loss. The two home covers were 30-23 over UCLA at +2.5, a win at +115, and 38-10 over Hawai’i at -2.5.

The Rebels at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 5 (83.3%)covered 2 of 6 (33.3%)Away (7)won 5 (71.4%)covered 5 of 7 (71.4%)Favorite (10)won 9 (90.0%)covered 6 of 10 (60.0%)Underdog (3)won 1 (33.3%)covered 1 of 3 (33.3%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Boise State, twice

UNLV was an underdog against Boise State both times and missed both: 31-56 at +13.5 in October and 21-38 at +6 in the conference final. Those were two of its three underdog games; the third was the UCLA win.

The six-game winning run that opened the season ended at Boise State in October. The full record was 10-3, with seven covers in 13.

The Rebels 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-23 v Idaho State Bengals 38-312025-08-29 at Sam Houston Bearkats 38-212025-09-06 v UCLA Bruins 30-232025-09-20 at Miami (OH) RedHawks 41-382025-10-04 at Wyoming Cowboys 31-172025-10-11 v Air Force Falcons 51-482025-10-18 at Boise State Broncos 31-562025-11-01 v New Mexico Lobos 35-402025-11-08 at Colorado State Rams 42-102025-11-15 v Utah State Aggies 29-262025-11-21 v Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 38-102025-11-29 at Nevada Wolf Pack 42-172025-12-05 at Boise State Broncos 21-38Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
10-3 in 13 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Seven games went under and six over. The Rebels lost the Frisco Bowl 10-17 to Ohio.

Questions and answers

How did UNLV do as a favorite in 2025?

9-1 straight up, 2.84 units up over nine priced games, 6-4 against the spread.

Did UNLV cover the spread at home in 2025?

Twice in six home games, against five covers in seven on the road.

How did UNLV do against Boise State in 2025?

Two losses, neither covered.

Past games

  1. California at UNLV · 3 OctOur number has UNLV by 4.9, and the line is 2.5.
  2. UNLV at Akron · 26 SepOur number has UNLV by 0.5.

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