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New Mexico Lobos

College Football3 predictions

Backing the New Mexico Lobos to win every priced game in 2025 made 5.93 units, more than all but six FBS teams. Most of it came on the road, from a 35-10 win at UCLA at +450.

The moneyline

New Mexico finished 9-3. Ten Lobos games carried a moneyline, and a stake on New Mexico in each returned 5.93 units. Away from home the stake made 4.75 in five priced games, a road return five schools beat.

Two road upsets carried it: 35-10 at UCLA getting 15.5, +450, and 40-35 at UNLV at +160. September alone made 4.71 units.

One unit on the Lobos to win, every game0+1+2+3+4+5+5.93 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 10 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Favored six times

Laying points six times, New Mexico won all six and covered three. Two of the misses were narrow home wins against big lines: 24-22 over Nevada at -14.5 and 20-17 over Colorado State at -15.5. Laying ten points or more at home, the Lobos covered once in four, and that is the line we treat with care.

The Lobos at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 6 (100.0%)covered 3 of 6 (50.0%)Away (6)won 3 (50.0%)covered 4 of 6 (66.7%)Favorite (6)won 6 (100.0%)covered 3 of 6 (50.0%)Underdog (6)won 3 (50.0%)covered 4 of 6 (66.7%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

On the spread

Seven Lobos covers in 12: 3-3 at home, 4-2 away, 4-2 getting points. The opener was a cover in a 17-34 loss at Michigan getting 34.5.

The Lobos 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 at Michigan Wolverines 17-342025-09-06 v Idaho State Bengals 32-222025-09-12 at UCLA Bruins 35-102025-09-27 v New Mexico State Aggies 38-202025-10-03 at San José State Spartans 28-352025-10-11 at Boise State Broncos 25-412025-10-18 v Nevada Wolf Pack 24-222025-10-25 v Utah State Aggies 33-142025-11-01 at UNLV Rebels 40-352025-11-15 v Colorado State Rams 20-172025-11-22 at Air Force Falcons 20-32025-11-28 v San Diego State Aztecs 23-17Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
9-3 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Eleven New Mexico games carried a total: five went over, six under, no lean either way. The season ended in the Rate Bowl, a 17-20 loss to Minnesota.

Questions and answers

What did the New Mexico moneyline return in 2025?

5.93 units up over 10 priced games.

How did New Mexico do when laying points in 2025?

The Lobos won all six such games and covered three.

How often did New Mexico cover in 2025?

Seven times in 12, four of them away from home.

Past games

  1. Miners at New Mexico · 3 OctOur number has New Mexico by 16.2.
  2. New Mexico at New Mexico St · 26 SepOur number has New Mexico State by 1.8.
  3. New Mexico at Oklahoma · 19 SepThe Oklahoma vs New Mexico recap was much tighter than the market expected.

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