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Air Force Falcons

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The Falcons covered one of six home games in 2025, the 49-13 opener over Bucknell, and lost three games by exactly three points. Air Force football cost money on the moneyline: 5.67 units down over 11 priced games.

Home

Air Force went 4-8, 2-4 at home and 2-4 away. Against the spread the home side was the problem: one cover in six, the opener at -30.5. Only four FBS teams covered a lower share at home; twelve matched. Backing the Falcons to win at home lost 3.42 units.

The Falcons at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 2 (33.3%)covered 1 of 6 (16.7%)Away (6)won 2 (33.3%)covered 3 of 5 (60.0%)Favorite (4)won 2 (50.0%)covered 1 of 4 (25.0%)Underdog (7)won 1 (14.3%)covered 3 of 7 (42.9%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The home losses: 37-49 to Boise State at +320, 35-44 to Hawai’i as 6.5-point favorites at -260, 17-20 to Army at +100 and 3-20 to New Mexico at +135.

Three points short

Three losses came by three: 31-34 at Navy and 48-51 at UNLV, both covers as underdogs, and the Army game, which was not. Seven times an underdog, Air Force won once: 26-16 at San José State at +175. The underdog moneyline lost 4.25 units.

The Falcons 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v Bucknell Bison 49-132025-09-13 at Utah State Aggies 30-492025-09-20 v Boise State Broncos 37-492025-09-27 v Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 35-442025-10-04 at Navy Midshipmen 31-342025-10-11 at UNLV Rebels 48-512025-10-18 v Wyoming Cowboys 24-212025-11-01 v Army Black Knights 17-202025-11-08 at San José State Spartans 26-162025-11-15 at UConn Huskies 16-262025-11-22 v New Mexico Lobos 3-202025-11-28 at Colorado State Rams 42-21Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
4-8 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

September

Three games, three losses, no covers: 30-49 at Utah State as a 3.5-point favorite, then Boise State and Hawai’i. Over the season Air Force cost a moneyline backer 5.67 units in 11 priced games; seventeen FBS teams cost more. The finale, 42-21 at Colorado State, had no line.

One unit on the Falcons to win, every game0-5-4-3-2-1-5.67 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 11 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

The over came in seven times, the Colorado State finale among them. Air Force scored 29.83 a game and allowed 30.33.

Questions and answers

Does Air Force cover at home?

Once in six home games in 2025.

How did Air Force do as an underdog in 2025?

1-6 straight up, 3-4 against the spread.

How did backing Air Force on the moneyline go in 2025?

5.67 units down over 11 priced games.

Past games

  1. Navy at Air Force · 3 OctOur number has Navy winning by 1.2.
  2. Air Force at Nevada · 26 SepOur number has Nevada by 0.5.

College Football teams