Our number has Air Force by 1.9. At +7.5, take Northern Illinois.

Air Force Falcons
Upcoming games
The Falcons covered one of six home games in 2025, the 49-13 opener over Bucknell, and lost three games by exactly three points. Air Force football cost money on the moneyline: 5.67 units down over 11 priced games.
Home
Air Force went 4-8, 2-4 at home and 2-4 away. Against the spread the home side was the problem: one cover in six, the opener at -30.5. Only four FBS teams covered a lower share at home; twelve matched. Backing the Falcons to win at home lost 3.42 units.
The home losses: 37-49 to Boise State at +320, 35-44 to Hawai’i as 6.5-point favorites at -260, 17-20 to Army at +100 and 3-20 to New Mexico at +135.
Three points short
Three losses came by three: 31-34 at Navy and 48-51 at UNLV, both covers as underdogs, and the Army game, which was not. Seven times an underdog, Air Force won once: 26-16 at San José State at +175. The underdog moneyline lost 4.25 units.
September
Three games, three losses, no covers: 30-49 at Utah State as a 3.5-point favorite, then Boise State and Hawai’i. Over the season Air Force cost a moneyline backer 5.67 units in 11 priced games; seventeen FBS teams cost more. The finale, 42-21 at Colorado State, had no line.
The total
The over came in seven times, the Colorado State finale among them. Air Force scored 29.83 a game and allowed 30.33.
Questions and answers
Does Air Force cover at home?
Once in six home games in 2025.
How did Air Force do as an underdog in 2025?
1-6 straight up, 3-4 against the spread.
How did backing Air Force on the moneyline go in 2025?
5.67 units down over 11 priced games.
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