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Boise State Broncos

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The Boise State Broncos were favored in 11 of their 13 games in 2025 and covered eight of them. Backing them to win in those 11 made 0.04 units: the nine wins returned 2.04 and the two losses cost two.

Favored nearly every week

Boise State went 9-4 and 9-4 against the spread over 13 games, the Mountain West Championship included. Twelve FBS teams covered more often and one at the same rate. As a favorite the Broncos were 9-2 and covered eight. Some of the prices were steep: -1800 at Nevada, -1200 against Colorado State. The two losses as favorites were 34-7 at South Florida in the opener at -5.5, and 30-7 at home to Fresno State at -17.5 and -1600.

One unit on the Broncos to win, every game0-3-2-1-1.96 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 13 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

At home

Seven home games, six wins, six covers; a home cover rate topped by four FBS programmes and equalled by five. The Fresno State game was the exception both ways. The last home cover was the conference title game, 38-21 over UNLV laying 6. On the road the Broncos covered three of six.

The Broncos at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 6 (85.7%)covered 6 of 7 (85.7%)Away (6)won 3 (50.0%)covered 3 of 6 (50.0%)Favorite (11)won 9 (81.8%)covered 8 of 11 (72.7%)Underdog (2)won 0 (0.0%)covered 1 of 2 (50.0%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Seven straight, then one in four

After the opening miss Boise State covered seven in a row through September and October, including a 28-7 loss at Notre Dame at +21.5. November went 1-3 against the spread: Fresno State, a 17-7 loss at San Diego State at +2.5, and a 25-24 win at Utah State laying 1.5 all missed.

The Broncos 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-28 at South Florida Bulls 7-342025-09-05 v Eastern Washington Eagles 51-142025-09-20 at Air Force Falcons 49-372025-09-27 v App State Mountaineers 47-142025-10-04 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish 7-282025-10-11 v New Mexico Lobos 41-252025-10-18 v UNLV Rebels 56-312025-10-24 at Nevada Wolf Pack 24-32025-11-01 v Fresno State Bulldogs 7-302025-11-15 at San Diego State Aztecs 7-172025-11-22 v Colorado State Rams 49-212025-11-28 at Utah State Aggies 25-242025-12-05 v UNLV Rebels 38-21Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
9-4 in 13 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Unders seven, overs six.

Washington beat Boise State 38-10 in the LA Bowl.

Questions and answers

How often was Boise State favored in 2025?

In 11 of 13 games; it won nine of them and covered eight.

How reliable was Boise State at home against the spread?

Six times in seven, Fresno State the exception.

When did Boise State’s covers stop in 2025?

In November, after seven straight covers in September and October.

Past games

  1. Utah State at Boise St · 3 OctOur number has Boise State by 14.8.
  2. Boise St at W Michigan · 26 SepOur number has Western Michigan winning by 6.9.

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