Our number has Fresno State by 5.9. At +6.5, take Fresno State.

Boise State Broncos
Upcoming games
The Boise State Broncos were favored in 11 of their 13 games in 2025 and covered eight of them. Backing them to win in those 11 made 0.04 units: the nine wins returned 2.04 and the two losses cost two.
Favored nearly every week
Boise State went 9-4 and 9-4 against the spread over 13 games, the Mountain West Championship included. Twelve FBS teams covered more often and one at the same rate. As a favorite the Broncos were 9-2 and covered eight. Some of the prices were steep: -1800 at Nevada, -1200 against Colorado State. The two losses as favorites were 34-7 at South Florida in the opener at -5.5, and 30-7 at home to Fresno State at -17.5 and -1600.
At home
Seven home games, six wins, six covers; a home cover rate topped by four FBS programmes and equalled by five. The Fresno State game was the exception both ways. The last home cover was the conference title game, 38-21 over UNLV laying 6. On the road the Broncos covered three of six.
Seven straight, then one in four
After the opening miss Boise State covered seven in a row through September and October, including a 28-7 loss at Notre Dame at +21.5. November went 1-3 against the spread: Fresno State, a 17-7 loss at San Diego State at +2.5, and a 25-24 win at Utah State laying 1.5 all missed.
The total
Unders seven, overs six.
Washington beat Boise State 38-10 in the LA Bowl.
Questions and answers
How often was Boise State favored in 2025?
In 11 of 13 games; it won nine of them and covered eight.
How reliable was Boise State at home against the spread?
Six times in seven, Fresno State the exception.
When did Boise State’s covers stop in 2025?
In November, after seven straight covers in September and October.
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