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North Texas Mean Green

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No FBS team scored more than the Mean Green’s 44.77 points a game in 2025, and North Texas covered the spread in 10 of its 13 regular-season games. Both losses came as favorites of 2.5 points or less, and both were by double digits.

Favored in all 13

North Texas was laid points in every regular-season game it played, the American Championship included, a blank underdog column it shared with four other FBS teams. The record was 11-2 and the spread record 10-3, a cover rate that sat behind just three FBS teams and level with three more.

The Green 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v Lamar Cardinals 51-02025-09-06 at Western Michigan Broncos 33-302025-09-13 v Washington State Cougars 59-102025-09-20 at Army Black Knights 45-382025-09-27 v South Alabama Jaguars 36-222025-10-10 v South Florida Bulls 36-632025-10-18 v UTSA Roadrunners 55-172025-10-24 at Charlotte 49ers 54-202025-11-01 v Navy Midshipmen 31-172025-11-15 at UAB Blazers 53-242025-11-22 at Rice Owls 56-242025-11-28 v Temple Owls 52-252025-12-05 at Tulane Green Wave 21-34Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
11-2 in 13 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The covers did not depend on soft numbers. Six times the Mean Green laid 6.5 or fewer, and we count four covers there: 59-10 over Washington State, 45-38 at Army, 55-17 over UTSA and 31-17 over Navy. The other two were outright losses, 36-63 at home to South Florida at -2.5 and 21-34 at Tulane at -1.5 for the conference title.

Home and away

Home: six wins and six covers from seven games, a home cover rate bettered by four FBS teams and matched by five. On the road it was 5-1 and 4-2 against the number. The one win that fell short was 33-30 at Western Michigan as a 12.5-point favorite.

The Green at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 6 (85.7%)covered 6 of 7 (85.7%)Away (6)won 5 (83.3%)covered 4 of 6 (66.7%)Favorite (13)won 11 (84.6%)covered 10 of 13 (76.9%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Price and total

Eleven games carried a moneyline; Charlotte and Temple did not. One unit on North Texas in each finished 0.74 up. The nine wins paid 2.74 between them, Army at -135 the best of it, and the two losses at -135 and -120 took a unit each.

One unit on the Green to win, every game0+1+0.74 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 11 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Of the 12 with a posted total, eight went over, a rate eight FBS sides beat and eight others equalled. November was the cleanest month: four wins, four covers.

The season closed with a 49-47 win over San Diego State in the New Mexico Bowl.

Questions and answers

Did North Texas ever get points in a 2025 regular-season game?

Never: laid points 13 times, 11-2 straight up, 10 covers.

What was the Mean Green’s home cover record in 2025?

6-1, the same as its home record.

Lean over or under on a North Texas game?

Over: eight of the 12 posted totals in 2025 went that way, with North Texas scoring 44.77 a game.

Past games

  1. North Texas at Tulsa · 1 OctOur number has North Texas by 3.7.
  2. Huskies at North Texas · 26 SepNo bet.

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