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Western Michigan Broncos

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The Western Michigan Broncos were favored eight times in 2025, won all eight and covered seven, and no FBS team made more backing its favorites on the moneyline. It came after an 0-3 start.

After 0-3

Western Michigan opened with three losses as an underdog: 6-23 at Michigan State, 30-33 to North Texas and 0-38 at Illinois. The first two still covered, with 22.5 and 12.5 points. From there the Broncos went 9-1, closing on five straight wins, and finished 9-4 with 10 covers in 13. Three FBS teams covered more often, and three matched the rate.

The Broncos 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-29 at Michigan State Spartans 6-232025-09-06 v North Texas Mean Green 30-332025-09-13 at Illinois Fighting Illini 0-382025-09-20 v Toledo Rockets 14-132025-09-27 v Rhode Island Rams 47-142025-10-04 at Massachusetts Minutemen 21-32025-10-11 v Ball State Cardinals 42-02025-10-25 at Miami (OH) RedHawks 17-262025-11-01 v Central Michigan Chippewas 24-212025-11-11 v Ohio Bobcats 17-132025-11-18 at Northern Illinois Huskies 35-192025-11-25 at Eastern Michigan Eagles 31-212025-12-06 v Miami (OH) RedHawks 23-13Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
9-4 in 13 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Favorites that delivered

We would look at a Broncos favorite line before anything else on this page. As favorites they went 8-0 straight up and 7-1 against the spread; eight FBS teams posted a better favorite cover rate. The one miss was 24-21 over Central Michigan at -5.5. One unit on each of the seven priced favorite games returned 3.22 units, the best favorite return of the 135 FBS teams with a priced favorite game. The run included 42-0 over Ball State at -9.5 and the 23-13 win over Miami (OH) in the MAC Championship at -2.5, a team that had beaten them 26-17 in October.

One unit on the Broncos to win, every game0-2+2+3.02 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 12 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home and road

At home the Broncos went 5-1 and covered five of six, and the home moneyline returned 4.73 units over six priced games, behind only five FBS teams. The best price came at home: 14-13 over Toledo at +380 as an 11.5-point underdog. Away they went 3-3, and the road moneyline lost 2.41 units over five priced games.

The Broncos at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 5 (83.3%)covered 5 of 6 (83.3%)Away (6)won 3 (50.0%)covered 4 of 6 (66.7%)Favorite (8)won 8 (100.0%)covered 7 of 8 (87.5%)Underdog (5)won 1 (20.0%)covered 3 of 5 (60.0%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Seven of the 13 went under and six over.

The season ended in the Myrtle Beach Bowl, a 41-6 win over Kennesaw State.

Questions and answers

Can the Broncos be trusted as favorites?

In 2025 they were 8-0 straight up and 7-1 against the spread when favored, and 3.22 units up on the moneyline, the best favorite return in FBS.

What was Western Michigan’s spread record in 2025?

10-3 counting the MAC Championship, a rate three FBS teams beat.

Was Western Michigan a good home bet in 2025?

Five covers in six home games and 4.73 units up on the moneyline.

Past games

  1. W Michigan at Buffalo · 3 OctOur number has Western Michigan by 2.1.
  2. Boise St at W Michigan · 26 SepOur number has Western Michigan winning by 6.9.

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