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Ball State Cardinals

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The Cardinals won four of five home games in 2025 and none of seven on the road, and their road moneyline lost more than any other FBS team’s. Ball State football still covered all three games it was favored in.

Two different teams

Ball State went 4-8 in the 2025 regular season: 4-1 at home, 0-7 away. A unit on the Cardinals in each of the five priced home games made 6.04, a figure only three FBS teams beat. The same unit on the six priced road games lost 6.00, last among all 136.

The Cardinals at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (5)won 4 (80.0%)covered 4 of 5 (80.0%)Away (7)won 0 (0.0%)covered 2 of 7 (28.6%)Favorite (3)won 3 (100.0%)covered 3 of 3 (100.0%)Underdog (9)won 1 (11.1%)covered 3 of 9 (33.3%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Against the spread the venue split held: 4-1 at home, 2-5 away. On the road Ball State was shut out twice, 31-0 at Purdue and 42-0 at Western Michigan. It scored 15.83 a game over the season, more than only five FBS teams.

The upset

The biggest single return came on 4 October: Ohio lost 20-14 at Ball State with the Cardinals at +475, getting 14.5. That game made 4.75 of October’s 3.66 units.

One unit on the Cardinals to win, every game0-1+1+2+3+0.04 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 11 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

As a favorite

Three games favored, three wins, three covers, all at home: the opener 34-29 at -2.5, 42-28 over Akron at -1.5 and 17-13 over Kent State at -3.5. Six other FBS teams also covered every game they were favored in. The three made 2.29 units; ten FBS teams did better as favorites. As an underdog Ball State went 1-8 and 3-6 against the spread.

The Cardinals 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 at Purdue Boilermakers 0-312025-09-06 at Auburn Tigers 3-422025-09-13 v New Hampshire Wildcats 34-292025-09-20 at UConn Huskies 25-312025-10-04 v Ohio Bobcats 20-142025-10-11 at Western Michigan Broncos 0-422025-10-18 v Akron Zips 42-282025-10-25 at Northern Illinois Huskies 7-212025-11-05 v Kent State Golden Flashes 17-132025-11-15 v Eastern Michigan Eagles 9-242025-11-22 at Toledo Rockets 9-382025-11-29 at Miami (OH) RedHawks 24-45Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
4-8 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Unders led overs seven to five. The full-season spread record was 6-6, and the 11 priced games netted 0.04 units.

Questions and answers

How did Ball State do on the road in 2025?

0-7 straight up and 2-5 against the spread; the road moneyline lost 6.00 units.

How did Ball State do at home?

4-1, 4-1 against the spread and 6.04 units up on the moneyline.

Did Ball State cover as a favorite?

Yes, in all three games it was favored.

Past games

  1. Toledo at Ball State · 3 OctOur number has Ball State by 1.6.
  2. Ball State at Kent State · 26 SepOur number has Kent State by 18.1.

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