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Bowling Green Falcons

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The Falcons lost 3.94 moneyline units as favorites in 2025, the worst figure in FBS, and covered once in six games when laying points. As an underdog Bowling Green covered four of six.

Laying points

Bowling Green was favored six times and won two. The four losses: 6-27 to Central Michigan at -3.5, 21-24 at Kent State at -7.5, 3-28 to Buffalo at -2.5 and 16-19 to Akron at -2.5. The opener, 26-7 over Lafayette at -21.5, was a win that missed. The one cover was the last game, 45-14 at UMass at -14. Only 13 FBS teams covered a smaller share as favorites; two matched.

The Falcons at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 3 (50.0%)covered 2 of 6 (33.3%)Away (6)won 1 (16.7%)covered 3 of 6 (50.0%)Favorite (6)won 2 (33.3%)covered 1 of 6 (16.7%)Underdog (6)won 2 (33.3%)covered 4 of 6 (66.7%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Getting points

Underdog six times: 2-4 straight up, 4-2 against the spread, 1.1 units up. The wins were 23-13 over Liberty at +190 and 28-23 over Toledo at +320. The covers in defeat came against the biggest numbers on the schedule, 20-34 at Cincinnati at +21.5 and 17-40 at Louisville at +25.5.

The Falcons 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-28 v Lafayette Leopards 26-72025-09-06 at Cincinnati Bearcats 20-342025-09-13 v Liberty Flames 23-132025-09-20 at Louisville Cardinals 17-402025-09-27 at Ohio Bobcats 20-352025-10-11 v Toledo Rockets 28-232025-10-18 v Central Michigan Chippewas 6-272025-10-25 at Kent State Golden Flashes 21-242025-11-01 v Buffalo Bulls 3-282025-11-08 at Eastern Michigan Eagles 21-272025-11-18 v Akron Zips 16-192025-11-25 at Massachusetts Minutemen 45-14Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
4-8 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home and road

At home the moneyline made 2.16 units over six games. Away it lost all five priced games, five units; one FBS team did worse on the road and eight matched. The road win at UMass had no price.

One unit on the Falcons to win, every game0-2-1+1+2-2.84 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 11 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Points and the total

The Falcons scored 20.5 points a game; only 19 FBS teams scored fewer. Seven of 12 went under, and in the run from Central Michigan to Akron, five straight games, they scored 67 points and lost all five. November cost three units.

Questions and answers

How did Bowling Green do as a favorite in 2025?

2-4 straight up, one cover in six, 3.94 units lost.

How did Bowling Green do as an underdog in 2025?

2-4 straight up, four covers in six, 1.1 units up.

What did the Bowling Green moneyline return on the road in 2025?

Five priced road games, five losses, five units down.

Past games

  1. Bowling Green at Redhawks · 3 OctOur number has Miami (OH) by 9.9.
  2. South Florida at Bowling Green · 26 SepOur number has South Florida by 4.9.

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