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Memphis Tigers

College FootballNext: vs UAB, Sat2 predictions

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College FootballSat 10 Oct
UAB Blazers
at
Memphis Tigers
SpreadTotalMoneyUAB+14U 52.5+440MEM-14O 52.5-600
Our call

Our number has Memphis by 10.5. At +14, take UAB.

UAB at Memphis · 10 OctUAB +14
Grant WellerRead the predictionUAB at Memphis prediction

Memphis football covered the spread in eight of its first nine games in 2025 and finished 8-4 against the number, a mark only 14 FBS teams beat. The Tigers then lost their last three, straight up and against the line.

Eight covers in nine, then none

Memphis went 8-4 against the spread in the 2025 regular season. Only 14 of the 136 FBS teams covered more often; 12 others matched it.

The Tigers 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v Chattanooga Mocs 45-102025-09-06 at Georgia State Panthers 38-162025-09-13 at Troy Trojans 28-72025-09-20 v Arkansas Razorbacks 32-312025-09-27 at Florida Atlantic Owls 55-262025-10-04 v Tulsa Golden Hurricane 45-72025-10-18 at UAB Blazers 24-312025-10-25 v South Florida Bulls 34-312025-10-31 at Rice Owls 38-142025-11-07 v Tulane Green Wave 32-382025-11-15 at East Carolina Pirates 27-312025-11-27 v Navy Midshipmen 17-28Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
8-4 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The one miss in that first stretch came at the worst price of the year. Memphis went to UAB as a 23.5-point favorite, -2500 on the moneyline, and lost 31-24. Then November: 38-32 to Tulane at home with Memphis laying 3.5, 31-27 at East Carolina as 2.5-point underdogs, and 28-17 to Navy at -4. Three losses, three misses.

Where the moneyline paid

Every game but Navy carried a moneyline. One unit on the Tigers in each finished 1.62 units up. Home games made it, 2.66 units up over five, with the 32-31 win over Arkansas at +230 the biggest single return. As a favorite they finished 0.98 units down over eight priced games: six wins at short prices could not cover the UAB and Tulane losses.

One unit on the Tigers to win, every game0+1+2+3+1.62 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 11 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home, road, total

Memphis was 4-2 at home and 4-2 on the road, and 4-2 against the spread on each side. Six overs, six unders: we see no lean on the total. The Tigers averaged 34.58 points; only 18 FBS teams scored more.

The Tigers at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 4 (66.7%)covered 4 of 6 (66.7%)Away (6)won 4 (66.7%)covered 4 of 6 (66.7%)Favorite (9)won 6 (66.7%)covered 6 of 9 (66.7%)Underdog (3)won 2 (66.7%)covered 2 of 3 (66.7%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The season closed with a 31-7 loss to NC State in the Gasparilla Bowl.

Questions and answers

Was Memphis a good spread bet in 2025?

Eight covers and four misses; just 14 FBS sides covered more often.

How did Memphis finish 2025 against the spread?

It missed its last three, all losses: Tulane, East Carolina and Navy.

Did betting Memphis on the moneyline at home pay in 2025?

Yes: 2.66 units up over five priced home games, led by the +230 win over Arkansas.

Past games

  1. Memphis at Charlotte · 3 OctOur number has Memphis by 16.7.

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