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Ohio State Buckeyes

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The Ohio State Buckeyes allowed 8.15 points a game in 2025, the fewest of all 136 FBS teams, and their games went under the total nine times in 13. They were favored in every game and still covered ten, a rate only three FBS teams beat.

Favored every week, covering most weeks

Ohio State won its first 12 and finished 12-1, the loss a 10-13 defeat to Indiana in the Big Ten Championship as 3.5-point favorites. The Buckeyes were never an underdog. Against the spread they went 10-3: 6-1 at home, 4-1 away, and the Indiana miss on the neutral field. Three other FBS teams matched that cover rate.

The Buckeyes 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v Texas Longhorns 14-72025-09-06 v Grambling Tigers 70-02025-09-13 v Ohio Bobcats 37-92025-09-27 at Washington Huskies 24-62025-10-04 v Minnesota Golden Gophers 42-32025-10-11 at Illinois Fighting Illini 34-162025-10-18 at Wisconsin Badgers 34-02025-11-01 v Penn State Nittany Lions 38-142025-11-08 at Purdue Boilermakers 34-102025-11-15 v UCLA Bruins 48-102025-11-22 v Rutgers Scarlet Knights 42-92025-11-29 at Michigan Wolverines 27-92025-12-06 v Indiana Hoosiers 10-13Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
12-1 in 13 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The three misses: 37-9 over Ohio at -28.5, 34-10 at Purdue at -30.5, and Indiana. Bigger numbers than those were covered: 70-0 over Grambling at -51.5 and 48-10 over UCLA at -32.5.

Built for the under

We read every Ohio State total against the defense first. Opponents scored 8.15 a game; Wisconsin was held to 0 in a 34-0 road win and Minnesota to 3. Nine of the 13 went under; only six FBS teams had a higher under rate, and two matched it. The opener, 14-7 over Texas, went under a 46.5 total.

The Buckeyes at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 7 (100.0%)covered 6 of 7 (85.7%)Away (5)won 5 (100.0%)covered 4 of 5 (80.0%)Favorite (13)won 12 (92.3%)covered 10 of 13 (76.9%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Not much in the moneyline

Five of the 13 games had no posted moneyline, and four of the other eight were priced shorter than -1000. One unit on the Buckeyes in the eight priced games returned 0.27 units; the Indiana loss at -180 took a full unit off it.

One unit on the Buckeyes to win, every game0+1+0.27 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 8 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The season ended in a College Football Playoff quarterfinal at the Cotton Bowl, a 14-24 loss to Miami.

Questions and answers

Favored in all 13, how often did the Buckeyes cover in 2025?

Ten times in 13; the Big Ten Championship loss was one of the three misses. Three FBS teams had a better rate.

Are Buckeyes games usually unders?

In 2025 nine of 13 were, and Ohio State allowed the fewest points in FBS, 8.15 a game.

Was Ohio State ever an underdog in 2025?

No. It was favored in all 13 games and lost one, to Indiana.

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