Skip to content
Scores&Stats
ES
College Football
XFacebookWhatsAppTelegramRedditEmail

Texas Longhorns

College FootballNext: at Oklahoma, Sat4 predictions

Upcoming games

College FootballSat 10 Oct
Texas Longhorns
at
Oklahoma Sooners
SpreadTotalMoneyTEX-7.5U 39.5-325OU+7.5O 39.5+260
Our call

Our number has Texas by 2.1 in Dallas. At +7.5, take Oklahoma.

Texas at Oklahoma · 10 OctOklahoma +7.5
Grant WellerRead the predictionTexas at Oklahoma prediction

The Texas Longhorns played five road games in 2025 and covered none of them; no FBS team had a worse road record against the spread, and one other matched it. They went 9-3 and covered 4 of 12.

Zero for five away

Texas went 2-3 on the road and 0-5 against the spread there. The two road wins were close: 16-13 at Kentucky laying 13.5 and 45-38 at Mississippi State laying 8.5. The losses were 7-14 at Ohio State in the opener, 21-29 at Florida as 4.5-point favorites and 10-35 at Georgia. The road moneyline lost 2.55 units over five priced games. At home the Longhorns went 6-0 and covered three of six.

The Longhorns 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 at Ohio State Buckeyes 7-142025-09-06 v San José State Spartans 38-72025-09-13 v UTEP Miners 27-102025-09-20 v Sam Houston Bearkats 55-02025-10-04 at Florida Gators 21-292025-10-11 v Oklahoma Sooners 23-62025-10-18 at Kentucky Wildcats 16-132025-10-25 at Mississippi State Bulldogs 45-382025-11-01 v Vanderbilt Commodores 34-312025-11-15 at Georgia Bulldogs 10-352025-11-22 v Arkansas Razorbacks 52-372025-11-28 v Texas A&M Aggies 27-17Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
9-3 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Winning by less than the line

We would check the size of a Texas favorite line first. Texas was favored nine times, won eight and covered three: 55-0 over Sam Houston at -39.5, 23-6 over Oklahoma at a neutral site at -2.5, and 52-37 over Arkansas at -10.5. Five wins as favorites fell short: the two road wins above, 34-31 over Vanderbilt at home at -3.5, and two at lines over 36, 38-7 over San José State at -36.5 and 27-10 over UTEP at -40.5. Only nine FBS teams covered less often over the season.

The Longhorns at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 6 (100.0%)covered 3 of 6 (50.0%)Away (5)won 2 (40.0%)covered 0 of 5 (0.0%)Favorite (9)won 8 (88.9%)covered 3 of 9 (33.3%)Underdog (3)won 1 (33.3%)covered 1 of 3 (33.3%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The moneyline

Four of the 12 games had no posted moneyline. In the other eight one unit a game lost 0.99 units: the six priced favorite games returned 1.01, and the two priced underdog games, at Ohio State and at Georgia, lost both units. The one underdog win, 27-17 over Texas A&M as 2.5-point underdogs, had no moneyline. Texas games went under seven times.

One unit on the Longhorns to win, every game0-2-1-0.99 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 8 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The season ended in the Citrus Bowl, a 41-27 win over Michigan.

Questions and answers

Did the Longhorns cover any road game in 2025?

None of five. No FBS team did worse away from home, and one matched it.

How did Texas do as a favorite in 2025?

Eight wins in nine games and three covers.

What was the Longhorns’ full spread record in 2025?

4-8; nine FBS teams covered at a lower rate.

Past games

  1. Texas at Tennessee · 26 SepOur number is Tennessee by 8.1.
  2. Roadrunners at Texas · 19 SepThe Texas vs UTSA recap showed why a dominant win can still be a losing spread result.
  3. Ohio State at Texas · 12 SepThe Texas vs Ohio State recap produced a result that looked impossible entering the fourth quarter.

College Football teams