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Kentucky Wildcats

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Two weeks in November made the Wildcats’ moneyline in 2025: 10-3 at Auburn at +380 and 38-7 over Florida at +175, 5.55 units between them. Kentucky finished 5-7, covered five of 12, and was an underdog nine times.

Two weeks in November

Kentucky went into November 2-5, having lost four straight. Then it won 10-3 at Auburn as an 11.5-point underdog and 38-7 over Florida as a 5.5-point underdog, and beat Tennessee Tech 42-10. The month finished 3-2 with three covers and 4.57 units, after closing losses of 17-45 at Vanderbilt and 0-41 at Louisville.

One unit on the Wildcats to win, every game0-4-3-2-1-0.12 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 11 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Underdog nine times

Only 12 FBS teams got points more often than Kentucky’s nine; 14 got them as often. Kentucky went 2-7 in those games and 4-5 against the spread, and across the eight with a price the moneyline lost 0.45 units. Besides Auburn and Florida, the covers were a 23-30 loss to Ole Miss at +7.5 and a 13-16 loss to Texas at +13.5.

The Wildcats 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 v Toledo Rockets 24-162025-09-06 v Ole Miss Rebels 23-302025-09-13 v Eastern Michigan Eagles 48-232025-09-27 at South Carolina Gamecocks 13-352025-10-04 at Georgia Bulldogs 14-352025-10-18 v Texas Longhorns 13-162025-10-25 v Tennessee Volunteers 34-562025-11-01 at Auburn Tigers 10-32025-11-08 v Florida Gators 38-72025-11-15 v Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 42-102025-11-22 at Vanderbilt Commodores 17-452025-11-29 at Louisville Cardinals 0-41Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
5-7 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

On the road

One cover in five road games, at Auburn. That one-in-five road rate was lower at only six FBS teams, with seven level. The other road games were losses: South Carolina 35-13, Georgia 35-14, Vanderbilt and Louisville. At home Kentucky covered four of seven.

The Wildcats at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 4 (57.1%)covered 4 of 7 (57.1%)Away (5)won 1 (20.0%)covered 1 of 5 (20.0%)Favorite (3)won 3 (100.0%)covered 1 of 3 (33.3%)Underdog (9)won 2 (22.2%)covered 4 of 9 (44.4%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

As the favorite

Three games, three wins, one cover: 24-16 over Toledo at -9.5 and 48-23 over Eastern Michigan at -26.5 fell short; Tennessee Tech at -22.5 did not. Kentucky’s totals: six overs, six unders.

Questions and answers

How often did Kentucky cover when getting points in 2025?

Four times in nine, with two outright wins.

Where did Kentucky’s only road cover come?

At Auburn, 10-3, its one cover in five road games.

What did the Kentucky moneyline return in 2025?

0.12 units down over 11 priced games, with 4.57 up in November.

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