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Northwestern Wildcats

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The Wildcats went 6-6 in 2025, and one unit on Northwestern every game returned 3.81; the 22-21 win at Penn State at +800 paid more than that on its own. Against the spread they went 7-4 with a push.

One price

Northwestern’s moneyline was posted for all 12. Take out the 8.0 units from Penn State, a 20.5-point underdog that day, and the other 11 games lost 4.19. On the road the moneyline came to 4.0 units across five games, and only eight FBS teams made more away.

One unit on the Wildcats to win, every game0+2+4+6+3.81 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 12 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

October

Four covers in four, three wins, 7.81 units: 42-7 over UL Monroe at -13.5, the Penn State win, 19-0 over Purdue at -3.5, and a 21-28 loss at Nebraska that still beat a 7.5-point line. November went the other way: one win in four, one cover, a push and 2.47 units down. The push was a 13-20 loss at Illinois at +7.

The Wildcats 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-30 at Tulane Green Wave 3-232025-09-05 v Western Illinois Leathernecks 42-72025-09-13 v Oregon Ducks 14-342025-09-27 v UCLA Bruins 17-142025-10-04 v UL Monroe Warhawks 42-72025-10-11 at Penn State Nittany Lions 22-212025-10-18 v Purdue Boilermakers 19-02025-10-25 at Nebraska Cornhuskers 21-282025-11-07 at USC Trojans 17-382025-11-15 v Michigan Wolverines 22-242025-11-22 v Minnesota Golden Gophers 38-352025-11-29 at Illinois Fighting Illini 13-20Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
6-6 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Favorite and underdog

Favored five times, Northwestern won all five and covered three; 17-14 over UCLA at -6.5 and 38-35 over Minnesota at -4.5 were the misses. As an underdog it went 1-6 straight up and 4-2 with a push against the number, covering against Oregon at +24.5 and Michigan at +10.5 in defeat.

That makes seven covers in 11 decided games. Twenty-seven FBS teams covered a larger share; two matched. At home the Wildcats covered five of seven.

The Wildcats at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 5 (71.4%)covered 5 of 7 (71.4%)Away (5)won 1 (20.0%)covered 2 of 4 (50.0%)Favorite (5)won 5 (100.0%)covered 3 of 5 (60.0%)Underdog (7)won 1 (14.3%)covered 4 of 6 (66.7%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Six games went over and six under. The season ended with a 34-7 bowl win over Central Michigan.

Questions and answers

What did the Northwestern moneyline return in 2025?

3.81 units over 12 games, with 8.0 of them from the win at Penn State.

How did Northwestern do as an underdog against the spread in 2025?

Four covers, two misses and a push in seven games.

Does Northwestern cover at home?

In 2025 it did five times in seven, and won five of those seven games.

Past games

  1. Penn State at Northwestern · 2 OctOur number has Northwestern winning by 4.3.
  2. Northwestern at Indiana · 25 SepNo bet at Indiana -21.

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