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Houston Cougars

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The Cougars won all six of their 2025 road games and covered the spread in five, a road rate only five FBS teams beat. Houston football went 8-4 against the spread overall and won four of six games as an underdog.

Six road games, six wins

Houston went 9-3 in the 2025 regular season and 8-4 against the spread. Every loss came at home; away from it the Cougars were 6-0 straight up and 5-1 against the line, an 83.3% road cover rate that only five FBS teams topped and one matched.

The Cougars 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-28 v Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 27-02025-09-06 at Rice Owls 35-92025-09-12 v Colorado Buffaloes 36-202025-09-26 at Oregon State Beavers 27-242025-10-04 v Texas Tech Red Raiders 11-352025-10-11 at Oklahoma State Cowboys 39-172025-10-18 v Arizona Wildcats 31-282025-10-25 at Arizona State Sun Devils 24-162025-11-01 v West Virginia Mountaineers 35-452025-11-07 at UCF Knights 30-272025-11-22 v TCU Horned Frogs 14-172025-11-29 at Baylor Bears 31-24Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
9-3 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Backed for a unit in each of the five road games with a price, Houston made 3.83; ten FBS teams made more on the road. At home the six priced games lost 1.34 and the spread split 3-3.

The Cougars at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (6)won 3 (50.0%)covered 3 of 6 (50.0%)Away (6)won 6 (100.0%)covered 5 of 6 (83.3%)Favorite (6)won 5 (83.3%)covered 4 of 6 (66.7%)Underdog (6)won 4 (66.7%)covered 4 of 6 (66.7%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Getting points

Houston was an underdog six times and won four: 31-28 over Arizona at +110, 24-16 at Arizona State at +230, 30-27 at UCF at +105 and 31-24 at Baylor getting 2.5, with no moneyline posted. The five priced underdog games returned 2.45 units. The two losses were 35-11 to Texas Tech and 17-14 to TCU.

Favored

As favorites the Cougars went 5-1 and covered four, but the prices were short enough that six games returned only 0.04. The loss was 45-35 to West Virginia at -650.

One unit on the Cougars to win, every game0+1+2+3+2.49 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 11 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

October

October brought three wins and three covers in four games plus 2.53 units, more than the season’s whole 2.49. Seven of the 12 games went over.

The Cougars then beat LSU 38-35 in the Texas Bowl.

Questions and answers

How did Houston do on the road in 2025?

6-0 straight up, 5-1 against the spread, 3.83 units up on the moneyline.

What was Houston’s record against the spread?

8-4 across the regular season, 4-2 both as favorite and as underdog.

Did Houston win as an underdog?

Four times in six, including 24-16 at Arizona State at +230.

Past games

  1. Knights at Houston · 3 OctOur number has Houston by 9.1.
  2. Houston at GA Southern · 26 SepOur number has Houston by 5.7.
  3. Houston at Texas Tech · 18 SepThe Houston vs Texas Tech recap validated the price-based underdog argument almost perfectly.
  4. Jaguars at Houston · 12 SepThe Southern vs Houston recap turned a 50-point betting cushion into nowhere near enough.

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