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Central Florida Knights

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UCF football won five of seven at home in 2025 and none of five on the road, and the Knights lost every game in which they were the underdog. Each of those five losses cost a full unit on the moneyline.

Five home wins, no road wins

UCF finished 5-7. At home it was 5-2; away it was 0-5, covering one of four road spreads. The road trips ran 34-20 at Kansas State, 20-11 at Cincinnati, 30-3 at Baylor, 48-9 at Texas Tech and 41-21 at BYU, the last a game with no posted spread or moneyline.

The Knights at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (7)won 5 (71.4%)covered 3 of 7 (42.9%)Away (5)won 0 (0.0%)covered 1 of 4 (25.0%)Favorite (6)won 5 (83.3%)covered 3 of 6 (50.0%)Underdog (5)won 0 (0.0%)covered 1 of 5 (20.0%)50%
2025 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Zero for five as the underdog

The Knights were underdogs five times and lost all five, covering once, at Cincinnati as 10.5-point underdogs. In 131 FBS teams that were ever an underdog, seven had a lower cover rate in that role. One unit on UCF in those five games lost 5.00, which is the whole moneyline loss for the season: as a favorite, the five priced games netted 0.00 units.

One unit on the Knights to win, every game0-5-4-3-2-1-5.00 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 10 priced 2025 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The spread

Against the spread UCF went 4-7. The best of it was a 45-13 home win over West Virginia at -6.5. The opener was a miss: 17-10 over Jacksonville State as 20.5-point favorites. November produced one win in five and no covers in four lined games, including a 30-27 home loss to Houston at -1.5.

The Knights 2025 regular season, game by game2025-08-28 v Jacksonville State Gamecocks 17-102025-09-06 v North Carolina A&T Aggies 68-72025-09-20 v North Carolina Tar Heels 34-92025-09-27 at Kansas State Wildcats 20-342025-10-04 v Kansas Jayhawks 20-272025-10-11 at Cincinnati Bearcats 11-202025-10-18 v West Virginia Mountaineers 45-132025-11-01 at Baylor Bears 3-302025-11-07 v Houston Cougars 27-302025-11-15 at Texas Tech Red Raiders 9-482025-11-22 v Oklahoma State Cowboys 17-142025-11-29 at BYU Cougars 21-41Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
5-7 in 12 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total split down the middle, six overs and six unders.

Questions and answers

Did UCF win a road game in 2025?

No: five road games, five losses, one cover in four with a spread.

Should you back UCF at plus money?

Not on 2025’s evidence: five underdog games, five losses, one cover, a unit lost each time.

What was UCF’s record against the spread in 2025?

4-7 over the 11 games with a posted spread.

Past games

  1. Knights at Houston · 3 OctOur number has Houston by 9.1.
  2. TCU at Knights · 26 SepOur number has UCF by 5.4.

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