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Iowa State heads to Provo for a late Big 12 matchup at the Marriott Center, and the market is still pricing the Cyclones as the better side despite BYU’s strong home profile. Iowa State comes in at 23-3 with an offense that has been elite by efficiency, while BYU sits at 19-7 and has been one of the most reliable home teams in the country at 14-3. This is the type of game where records matter, but environment and style matter more. From a betting standpoint, the spread is telling you to treat this like a two-possession game. Iowa State -3.5 says the Cyclones are expected to win a clean road game, while BYU +3.5 is built on the idea

Portland heads north for a Saturday matchup with Seattle at the Redhawk Center, and the market is asking Seattle to win by multiple possessions at home. The situational splits explain why. Seattle has been reliable in this building at 13-5, while Portland has struggled to travel all season at 1-10 on the road. That’s the type of gap that usually leads to a home favorite laying points, even if the overall team quality is closer than the record suggests. From a betting angle, the rematch dynamic matters. Portland already beat Seattle once this season in a 54-53 game at home, which tells you the Pilots can drag this into a possession-by-possession grinder when they get the script they want. Seattle’s

Saint Mary’s heads to Pullman for a late non-conference game against Washington State, and the market is asking the Gaels to win by multiple possessions on the road. The records suggest a mismatch, with Saint Mary’s sitting at 24-4 and Washington State at 12-16, but the situational split matters more than the raw win-loss. The Cougars have been respectable at Friel Court at 10-6, and home teams catching points can stay live when the favorite plays a slower, halfcourt-heavy style. That’s where this matchup gets interesting for bettors. Saint Mary’s is efficient and disciplined, but it also plays at a pace that can compress margins. If the Gaels are controlling the game but not creating extra possessions, +8.5 becomes a

Santa Clara and San Francisco meet late Saturday night at War Memorial Gymnasium, and the market is pricing this one as a clear Santa Clara edge despite the game being on the road. The Broncos come in with a 22-6 record and the profile of a team that can score at multiple levels, while the Dons are sitting at 15-14 and trying to stabilize after recent results. The number is also telling you how oddsmakers view these offenses, with a high total of 158 that implies a game played in the upper 70s. From a betting perspective, this matchup hinges on shot volume and conversion. Santa Clara has the spacing and three-point volume to create runs quickly, and that matters