No bet on a Week 7 underdog. None of our Week 7 college football predictions makes a call at this read, and this page backs an underdog only where one of them does.
College football Week 7 has 55 games still to play with a DraftKings line, from Thursday 15 to Saturday 17 October. For every underdog below: the spread and moneyline, the win rate the moneyline needs to break even, and the chance DraftKings gives that team once the bookmaker’s margin is taken out. Lines read at 02:32 UTC on Thursday 15 October 2026.
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Ranked underdogs
Seven teams in the AP Top 25 are getting points this week.
| Game | Kickoff (ET) | Underdog | Spread | Moneyline | Break-even | DraftKings chance | Our page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. 16 Mississippi State at No. 22 LSU | Sat 17, 12 PM | Mississippi State | +14.5 (-112) | +440 | 18.5% | 17.8% | – |
| No. 4 Ohio State at No. 5 Indiana | Sat 17, 12 PM | Indiana | +3.5 (-112) | +150 | 40.0% | 38.4% | – |
| No. 13 Missouri at No. 9 Ole Miss | Sat 17, 3:30 PM | Missouri | +5.5 (-110) | +185 | 35.1% | 33.6% | – |
| No. 6 Alabama at No. 14 Tennessee | Sat 17, 3:30 PM | Tennessee | +7.5 (-105) | +250 | 28.6% | 27.4% | prediction, no call |
| No. 15 Kentucky at Oklahoma | Sat 17, 7:30 PM | Kentucky | +6.5 (-108) | +195 | 33.9% | 32.5% | – |
| No. 2 Notre Dame at No. 8 BYU | Sat 17, 7:30 PM | BYU | +10.5 (-110) | +310 | 24.4% | 23.4% | – |
| No. 18 Oklahoma State at No. 20 Houston | Sat 17, 7:30 PM | Oklahoma State | +4.5 (-110) | +160 | 38.5% | 36.9% | – |
Unranked underdogs against the Top 25
Nine unranked teams are underdogs to a ranked one. These are the upset spots of the week.
| Game | Kickoff (ET) | Underdog | Spread | Moneyline | Break-even | DraftKings chance | Our page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida at No. 7 Texas | Sat 17, 12 PM | Florida | +10.5 (-105) | +340 | 22.7% | 21.8% | prediction, no call |
| Virginia at No. 24 SMU | Sat 17, 12 PM | Virginia | +8.5 (-105) | +270 | 27.0% | 25.9% | – |
| No. 25 Northwestern at Michigan State | Sat 17, 12 PM | Michigan State | +7.5 (-118) | +250 | 28.6% | 27.4% | – |
| Auburn at No. 1 Georgia | Sat 17, 3:30 PM | Auburn | +20.5 (-102) | +850 | 10.5% | 10.1% | prediction, no call |
| Arizona State at No. 10 Texas Tech | Sat 17, 3:30 PM | Arizona State | +14.5 (-108) | +500 | 16.7% | 16.0% | – |
| Florida State at No. 3 Miami | Sat 17, 7 PM | Florida State | +21.5 (-115) | +1000 | 9.1% | 8.8% | – |
| Wisconsin at No. 12 UCLA | Sat 17, 7:30 PM | Wisconsin | +2.5 (-105) | +120 | 45.5% | 43.7% | prediction, no call |
| No. 11 Utah at Colorado | Sat 17, 10:15 PM | Colorado | +15.5 (-108) | +525 | 16.0% | 15.3% | prediction, no call |
| No. 21 Wake Forest at California | Sat 17, 10:30 PM | California | +9.5 (-110) | +275 | 26.7% | 25.6% | – |
What the Week 7 prices say
Six underdogs are getting 3 points or fewer: Coastal Carolina +1.5, Cincinnati +1.5, Air Force +1.5, Florida Atlantic +2.5, Wisconsin +2.5 and North Carolina +3. At that size the moneyline is the other way to back them, and the table gives both prices.
The biggest underdog on the board is Florida State, getting 21.5 points from No. 3 Miami at +1000 on the moneyline. DraftKings puts its chance at 8.8%.
Of the 55 underdogs, 22 are at home, not counting neutral sites.
How to read an underdog price
Take No. 4 Ohio State at No. 5 Indiana. Indiana is +150 on the moneyline: a $100 bet returns $150 profit if Indiana wins. To break even at that price a bet has to win 40.0% of the time. Ohio State is -180, which needs 64.3%. The two add up to 104.3%, and the 4.3 points above 100 are the bookmaker’s margin. Take the margin out and DraftKings is giving Indiana a 38.4% chance.
An underdog is worth a bet only when its real chance is above the break-even number. The price alone never says that; a number for the game does.
Our underdog picks for Week 7
No bet. A pick on this page comes from our own prediction for the game. Our college football predictions compare the spread with our number for the game, and a side is a bet only when the two are 3 points or more apart; that method is set out on the college football predictions hub.
Five Week 7 games have a page so far, and none of the 5 states a call at this read:
- Florida at No. 7 Texas
- Auburn at No. 1 Georgia
- No. 6 Alabama at No. 14 Tennessee
- Wisconsin at No. 12 UCLA
- No. 11 Utah at Colorado
Every other Week 7 underdog
| Game | Kickoff (ET) | Underdog | Spread | Moneyline | Break-even | DraftKings chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina at UAB | Thu 15, 7:30 PM | UAB | +5.5 (-112) | +170 | 37.0% | 35.5% |
| Georgia Southern at Old Dominion | Thu 15, 7:30 PM | Old Dominion | +3.5 (-110) | +150 | 40.0% | 38.4% |
| Colorado State at Texas State | Thu 15, 8 PM | Colorado State | +14.5 (-112) | +440 | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| Memphis at Tulane | Fri 16, 7:30 PM | Tulane | +7 (-108) | +215 | 31.7% | 30.4% |
| Washington at Purdue | Fri 16, 8 PM | Washington | +3.5 (-112) | +142 | 41.3% | 39.6% |
| App State at Coastal Carolina | Fri 16, 8 PM | Coastal Carolina | +1.5 (-112) | -102 | 50.5% | 48.3% |
| Cincinnati at West Virginia | Sat 17, 12 PM | Cincinnati | +1.5 (-115) | +102 | 49.5% | 47.4% |
| Kansas at Kansas State | Sat 17, 12 PM | Kansas | +4.5 (-110) | +164 | 37.9% | 36.3% |
| Pittsburgh at Boston College | Sat 17, 12 PM | Boston College | +6.5 (-110) | +195 | 33.9% | 32.5% |
| Florida Atlantic at Army | Sat 17, 12 PM | Florida Atlantic | +2.5 (+100) | +120 | 45.5% | 43.7% |
| Ball State at Bowling Green | Sat 17, 12 PM | Ball State | +6.5 (-105) | +210 | 32.3% | 30.9% |
| Georgia State at James Madison | Sat 17, 12 PM | Georgia State | +12.5 (-112) | +350 | 22.2% | 21.3% |
| Rutgers at Maryland | Sat 17, 12:30 PM | Rutgers | +4.5 (-108) | +164 | 37.9% | 36.3% |
| Charlotte at Temple | Sat 17, 1 PM | Charlotte | +21 (-112) | +1000 | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| Massachusetts at Buffalo | Sat 17, 1 PM | Massachusetts | +6.5 (-110) | +205 | 32.8% | 31.5% |
| Western Michigan at Central Michigan | Sat 17, 1:30 PM | Central Michigan | +6.5 (-102) | +210 | 32.3% | 30.9% |
| Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech | Sat 17, 3:30 PM | Georgia Tech | +10 (-105) | +295 | 25.3% | 24.3% |
| North Carolina at Duke | Sat 17, 3:30 PM | North Carolina | +3 (-105) | +136 | 42.4% | 40.7% |
| Penn State at Michigan | Sat 17, 3:30 PM | Penn State | +6.5 (-102) | +200 | 33.3% | 31.9% |
| Northern Illinois at Wyoming | Sat 17, 3:30 PM | Northern Illinois | +7.5 (-105) | +245 | 29.0% | 27.8% |
| UNLV at Air Force | Sat 17, 3:30 PM | Air Force | +1.5 (-118) | -108 | 51.9% | 49.6% |
| Toledo at Eastern Michigan | Sat 17, 3:30 PM | Eastern Michigan | +6.5 (-110) | +200 | 33.3% | 31.9% |
| Akron at Miami (OH) | Sat 17, 3:30 PM | Akron | +10 (-112) | +285 | 26.0% | 24.9% |
| Tulsa at Rice | Sat 17, 4:30 PM | Rice | +4 (-108) | +160 | 38.5% | 36.9% |
| Troy at Louisiana | Sat 17, 5 PM | Troy | +4 (-112) | +150 | 40.0% | 38.4% |
| Washington State at Oregon State | Sat 17, 6 PM | Washington State | +18.5 (-115) | +675 | 12.9% | 12.4% |
| Arkansas at Vanderbilt | Sat 17, 7 PM | Arkansas | +6 (-110) | +185 | 35.1% | 33.6% |
| TCU at Baylor | Sat 17, 7 PM | TCU | +6 (-112) | +180 | 35.7% | 34.3% |
| Kent State at South Florida | Sat 17, 7 PM | Kent State | +20.5 (-108) | +850 | 10.5% | 10.1% |
| Nevada at North Dakota State | Sat 17, 7 PM | Nevada | +14.5 (-108) | +500 | 16.7% | 16.0% |
| Arkansas State at Southern Miss | Sat 17, 7 PM | Southern Miss | +7 (-115) | +215 | 31.7% | 30.4% |
| Louisville at Syracuse | Sat 17, 7:30 PM | Syracuse | +14.5 (-108) | +470 | 17.5% | 16.8% |
| Navy at UTSA | Sat 17, 8 PM | Navy | +6.5 (+102) | +210 | 32.3% | 30.9% |
| Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe | Sat 17, 8 PM | UL Monroe | +15.5 (-110) | +525 | 16.0% | 15.3% |
| San José State at UTEP | Sat 17, 9 PM | UTEP | +7.5 (-118) | +235 | 29.9% | 28.6% |
| Ohio at Sacramento State | Sat 17, 10 PM | Sacramento State | +15.5 (-112) | +490 | 16.9% | 16.3% |
| Fresno State at San Diego State | Sat 17, 10:30 PM | San Diego State | +7.5 (-115) | +250 | 28.6% | 27.4% |
| New Mexico at Hawai’i | Sat 17, 10:30 PM | Hawai’i | +14.5 (-108) | +490 | 16.9% | 16.3% |
| Nebraska at Oregon | Sat 17, 11 PM | Nebraska | +7 (-108) | +220 | 31.2% | 30.0% |
No line was posted on the other 3 Week 7 games still to play.
More college football this week
The Week 7 odds and schedule page has the full Week 7 schedule with kickoff times, TV and the totals. Every college football prediction we publish is listed on the college football predictions hub.
Underdogs, spreads and moneylines: DraftKings as ESPN lists them, read at 02:32 UTC on Thursday 15 October 2026. Ranks: the AP Top 25, Week 7 poll. Break-even is the moneyline’s own win rate; the DraftKings chance is that figure with the margin of both sides removed. Prices move through the week.