North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Virginia Cavaliers Pick & Prediction NOVEMBER 5th 2022

Stadium: Scott Stadium Charlottesville
Logo North Carolina Tar Heels
Logo Virginia Cavaliers

-7.5 -104
61o -105



It is a David vs Goliath match-up in the Atlantic Coast Conference. The #17 North Carolina Tar Heels will visit the Virginia Cavaliers in a week 10 match-up on Saturday.

North Carolina has been on a tear as of late and they have won their last four games this season. Virginia has been sputtering out of control and has gone 1-4 in their last five games. Kick-off for this ACC week 10 contest will be at 12:00 PM ET at Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, Virginia.

North Carolina vs. Virginia Odds


MONEY LINE: Virginia (+245) vs. North Carolina (-310)

SPREAD: Virginia +7.5 (-112) vs. North Carolina -7.5 (-108)

GAME TOTAL: Over 59.5 (-110) vs. Under 59.5 (-110)

North Carolina vs. Virginia Preview, Stats and Trends

The North Carolina Tar Heels find themselves gaining more confidence as the 2022 season progresses. They are currently 7-1 on the year and setting themselves up for a monster match-up for the ACC championship. To get there, they must handle business on the road in Virginia. Their offense is one of the best in football right now, as they are averaging 42 points per game.

Quarterback Drake Maye has been stellar all season long. He has recorded 2671 yards passing with a mammoth 29 touchdowns and three interceptions. He is putting his name in the Heisman Trophy conversation this season. If he can set the tempo early and gain confidence, UNC will blow the doors off in Virginia.

This Virginia Cavaliers team is in the midst of a major struggle. They are 1-4 in their last five games and their schedule isn’t getting any easier as the season is winding down. Their major struggle is on the offensive side of the ball. Currently, this team is only averaging 17 points per game.

Scoring under 20 points per game is a recipe for disaster in college football. Their quarterback Brennan Armstrong has been careless at times with the football this season. He has six touchdowns and nine interceptions. If he can manage the football better, Virginia may be able to stay competitive in this game.

North Carolina vs. Virginia Picks

When looking at this match-up between these two teams, it is obvious that the North Carolina Tar Heels are the superior team in just about every category. They have a more consistent offense and deeper defense. They have the depth that Virginia does not possess.

Even though this game is on the road for UNC, they should have confidence in their abilities in week 10. Expect the Tar Heels to cover the 7.5-point spread.

Final Score: 35-17 (North Carolina)


1. UNC is 4-3-1 against the spread.

2. Virginia is 3-5 against the spread.

3. The Tar Heels are 6th in passing yards per game, with an average of 334.4.

Best Bet: North Carolina -7.5 (-108)

North Carolina Tar Heels
Virginia Cavaliers
North Carolina Tar Heels
Virginia Cavaliers

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Virginia Cavaliers

Brennan Armstrong threw for three touchdowns and ran for a fourth Saturday night as Virginia upset No. 15 North Carolina 44-41 in an Atlantic Coast Conference contest at Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, Va.

Armstrong completed 12 of 22 passes for 208 yards and an interception while adding 66 yards on 20 carries before leaving late in the game with a leg injury. The Cavaliers (2-4, 2-4 ACC) snapped a four-game losing streak despite being outgained 536-418.

They outrushed the Tar Heels 210-93.

Virginia's running game was most useful as it protected its dwindling lead in the fourth quarter. It ate up 9:02 on a 15-play, 58-yard drive -- 14 plays were rushes -- that set up a 35-yard field goal with 4:07 left by Brian Delaney that made it 44-34.

The Tar Heels (4-2, 4-2) fought back, slicing the deficit to three when Javonte Williams plowed 3 yards for a touchdown with 2:51 remaining. But the Cavaliers iced the game when Keytaon Thompson picked up 5 yards on a fake punt on fourth-and-4 from their 41 with 1:55 left.

Quarterback Sam Howell carved up Virginia's defense for 443 yards on 23 of 28 passing for North Carolina, throwing for four touchdowns. But Howell also absorbed five sacks and lost a fumble that led to Armstrong's 17-yard scoring strike to Tony Poljan that gave Virginia a 41-20 advantage with 5:34 left in the third quarter.

The Tar Heels led 20-13 after Howell hit Khafre Brown on a 76-yard touchdown. However, the Cavaliers rattled off 28 unanswered points, taking advantage of critical North Carolina mistakes.

Armstrong found Ra'Shaun Henry for an 18-yard score midway through the second quarter to tie the game. Thompson then put Virginia ahead for good with a 1-yard run off right tackle with just over a minute left before halftime.

Wayne Taulapapa capped a 75-yard drive to start the second half with a 2-yard touchdown run, upping the lead to two touchdowns.

Carolina receiver Dyami Brown caught 11 passes for 240 yards and three scores.

--Field Level Media

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