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Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview
Baltimore and Pittsburgh meet Sunday with first place in the AFC North on the line. Both teams sit at 6-6, arriving there through opposite arcs. The Ravens opened 1-5 but surged after their bye with five straight wins before a 32-14 setback to Cincinnati on Thanksgiving. Lamar Jackson committed three turnovers in the loss, and Baltimore controlled possession for only 21 minutes. The focus this week shifts to stabilizing their offensive rhythm and reestablishing ground control behind Derrick Henry.
Pittsburgh started 4-1 but has dropped five of seven, including a 26-7 home loss to Buffalo. The Steelers managed only 166 total yards and allowed 249 rushing yards. Aaron Rodgers continues to work through a fractured wrist and did not practice Wednesday. His 10-of-21 performance last week was his least efficient of the season. The Steelers face Baltimore again in Week 18, placing added weight on this matchup.
Baltimore won last season’s wild-card meeting 28-14 behind Henry’s 186-yard performance. Pittsburgh, however, has won eight of the last ten regular-season matchups. The dynamic remains familiar: physicality, field position and ball security shape the winner.
Explore more Week 14 breakdowns inside the NFL previews section.
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Line Movement and Odds
Baltimore opened -6 and remains there. The market leans toward Baltimore’s defensive ceiling and home-field profile. Pittsburgh is +6 with interest tied to historical divisional competitiveness.
The total opened 43.5 and has held firm as cold, overcast conditions introduce modest scoring variance.
Track all updates through the NFL odds board.
Matchup Breakdown
Pittsburgh must reestablish ground efficiency and reduce third-down strain. Jaylen Warren’s consistency provides a stabilizing force, while Kenneth Gainwell adds dual-threat value. The Steelers defense still dictates outcomes when able to disrupt backfields, but injuries weaken their margin for error. Rodgers’ wrist status shapes their ceiling, and Pittsburgh will rely heavily on structural discipline to keep scoring within reach.
The Ravens remain one of the league’s most reliable rushing identities. Henry is within 69 yards of another landmark season, and Baltimore’s defensive front continues to generate pressure despite last week’s setback. Jackson brings explosive-play potential but must limit turnovers to prevent short fields. Mark Andrews received a contract extension this week and remains a pivotal target when healthy, while Baltimore’s defensive backend enters with improved availability.
View full projections inside the updated NFL picks section.
Injuries and Conditions
Pittsburgh Steelers
Miles Killebrew, knee, out
Dean Lowry, knee, out
DeShon Elliott, knee, out
Daniel Ekuale, suspension, out
Donald Parham Jr., Achilles, out
Max Scharping, knee, out
Patrick Queen, hip, questionable
James Pierre, head, questionable
Isaiahh Loudermilk, ankle, out
Skylar Thompson, hamstring, out
Broderick Jones, neck, out
Cory Trice Jr., hamstring, out
Full updates on the Steelers team page.
Baltimore Ravens
Taven Bryan, knee, out
Justice Hill, neck, out
Broderick Washington Jr., ankle, out
Nnamdi Madubuike, neck, out
Ar’Darius Washington, Achilles, questionable
Tavius Robinson, foot, questionable
Nate Wiggins, foot, questionable
Adisa Isaac, elbow, out
Dayton Wade, undisclosed, out
Jay Higgins IV, knee, out
Bilhal Kone, knee, out
Robert Longerbeam, undisclosed, out
Outdoor venue, cold with overcast skies.
Latest Betting Trends
Ravens SU last 3 away games: 3-0
Ravens SU last 6 overall: 5-1
Steelers ATS as favorite: 3-1
Steelers SU with totals ≤ 42: 3-1
Ravens SU after win: 4-1
Ravens O/U as favorite: 7-4
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Best Bets and Prediction
Baltimore’s rushing stability and defensive consistency give them the clearest path. Pittsburgh’s offense remains limited without a fully healthy Rodgers, and protection concerns linger. The Ravens’ control profile projects a two-score separation.
Projected Score: Ravens 27, Steelers 20
Best Bet: Ravens -6
Secondary Lean: Over 43.5
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