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Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview
The Chicago Bears host the Pittsburgh Steelers at Soldier Field in Week 12 NFL action. Chicago enters at 7-3 after three straight wins, while Pittsburgh sits at 6-4 atop the AFC North. Bettors will weigh the Bears’ defensive dominance against the uncertainty of Aaron Rodgers’ status for the Steelers.
Line Movement and Odds
- Bears Spread: -2.5 (-118)
- Steelers Spread: +2.5 (-102)
- Bears MoneyLine: -150
- Steelers MoneyLine: +126
- Total: 45.0 (Over -110, Under -109)
Chicago opened as slight home favorites, reflecting their defensive edge and Pittsburgh’s quarterback uncertainty. See full NFL odds for market movement.
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Matchup Breakdown
Pittsburgh Steelers Outlook
Aaron Rodgers fractured his non-throwing wrist against Cincinnati, leaving Mason Rudolph to finish the game. Rodgers has 24 career wins against Chicago, but his availability is in doubt. RB Jaylen Warren (ankle) is also questionable. Pittsburgh’s defense ranks top-10 in opponent scoring and interceptions, with Kyle Dugger and Alex Highsmith anchoring the unit. The Steelers must lean on their defense and Rudolph’s efficiency if Rodgers cannot play.
Chicago Bears Outlook
Caleb Williams engineered his third straight fourth-quarter comeback in the win over Minnesota, though his accuracy dipped to 50%. D’Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai combined for 140 rushing yards, while rookie WR Luther Burden continues to develop. Chicago’s defense leads the NFL in turnover margin (+16), with C.J. Gardner-Johnson stepping up in Kyler Gordon’s absence. Injuries to linebackers Tremaine Edmunds, TJ Edwards, and Noah Sewell are concerns, but the Bears’ opportunistic defense remains their strength.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
The Steelers must protect the football and rely on their defense to pressure Williams. The Bears need Williams to play more consistently and their secondary to contain Pittsburgh’s passing game. Turnovers and quarterback play will decide this divisional clash.
Injuries / Availability
Pittsburgh lists Aaron Rodgers (wrist) questionable, with Jaylen Warren (ankle), Cole Holcomb (illness), Alex Highsmith (pectoral), and Brandin Echols (ankle) also uncertain. For full player status, check the Steelers injury report.
Chicago lists TJ Edwards (hand/hamstring), Jaylon Johnson (groin), Tyrique Stevenson (hip), and Jahdae Walker (concussion) questionable, with Kyler Gordon (groin/calf) and Braxton Jones (knee) out. See the Bears injury page for latest updates.
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Environment
The game kicks off at Soldier Field, where Chicago is 3-1 at home. Pittsburgh is 2-2 on the road, but historically struggles in Chicago (1-6 in the Super Bowl era). Expect a defensive battle with playoff implications for both teams.
Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Steelers 21, Bears 20
- Best Bet: Steelers +2.5
Pittsburgh’s defense and Chicago’s offensive inconsistency make the underdog spread attractive. - Total: Under 45.0 (-109)
Our model projects 41 points, leaning under given both defenses’ ability to limit scoring.
Pittsburgh’s defensive edge and Rodgers’ potential return tilt this matchup, while Chicago’s turnover margin keeps it close. Expect a low-scoring game trending under the total.
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