football | nfl

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Pick & Prediction OCT 19TH 2020

FinishedTV: NFL | FOX | AmazonRalph Wilson Stadium Orchard Park

OP
0
55
CU
-9 +150
58o -110
ML
-245
205
Partials
1 2 3 4
7 6 7 6
3 7 0 7
Score
26
17
Recap
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Two teams that seemed to be steamrolling toward a clash of unbeatens now find themselves looking to recover.

Although the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills are each 4-1 and leading their respective divisions in the AFC, each will be coming off their first defeats Monday at Orchard Park, N.Y. The game got pushed back four days because of dominoes related to COVID-19 developments and kick off at 5 p.m. ET.

Each team allowed 40 points in their recent losses, creating deficits neither Patrick Mahomes nor Josh Allen could overcome quarterbacking the Chiefs and Bills, respectively.

Mahomes was constantly hounded and sacked three times by the Oakland Raiders in a 40-32 loss, leaving him to scurry quickly from the pocket and often look over the top in third-and-long situations.

"We can't just rely on the big play," said Mahomes, who completed a season-low 51.2 percent of his passes against Las Vegas. "We have to execute at a high level and when the big play comes, you have to hit it."

Although Mahomes often clicks on those looks, the end of a 13-game winning streak -- including playoffs, highlighted by last season's Super Bowl victory -- proved he is mortal.

Now, Mahomes must move on from a setback without experienced receiver Sammy Watkins (hamstring) and guard Kelechi Osemele (knee).

"I can help with different calls and putting people in better positions," Chiefs coach Andy Reid said. "Everyone has a little piece of the pie here."

That includes the Kansas City defense, which permitted 20 points or less in each of the Chiefs' first four games before allowing 490 yards to the Raiders, including five chunk plays of 40-plus yards.

Botched execution hurt the Bills in their first defeat and now they have a short week to recover after falling to Tennessee, 42-16, on Tuesday. Two interceptions and long returns Buffalo gave up on special teams proved fatal against a virus-plagued opponent that had practiced only once in 12 days.

One of Allen's interceptions bounded off the hands of a receiver, but the Bills quarterback will still be looking to rebound against the Chiefs. That will be a collective effort, though, after his defense could only get him the ball twice in the final 17 minutes against Tennessee.

Allen relies on one of the NFL's hottest receivers, Stephon Diggs, who ranks second in the league with 509 receiving yards. Allen, meanwhile, ranks second in passing yards (1,589) and touchdown strikes (14).

Those impressive numbers also present a concern, however. The Bills have become one-dimensional, gaining just 469 yards on the ground to rank 28th in rushing after ranking eighth in the NFL last season.

"The number of opportunities, run versus pass, has been a little bit different," Buffalo coach Sean McDermott said. "So, that would be one piece. Then the other piece is making sure that we're staying true to our philosophy in terms of what we're doing up front. It's a mentality."

Ground opportunities could exist against the Chiefs, who rank 29th against the rush, allowing 157.6 yards per game. Allen, however, is focused on overall execution.

"We're not going to let this one loss define us," he said. "We've got to be better, we've got to be prepared and we've got to come out swinging early."

The Chiefs' ground game (13th overall, 119.3 rush yards per game) looks like it will soon get a boost as former New York Jets and Pittsburgh Steelers running back Le'Veon Bell tweeted Thursday afternoon that he has joined Kansas City -- news that the Chiefs seemed to confirm with a subsequent tweet. The Jets cut Bell, a three-time Pro Bowl selection, Tuesday as the former three-time 1,000-yard rusher currently has just 19 carries and 74 yards in two games this season.

Bell will not be available to play Monday due to coronavirus-testing protocols, according to ESPN.

Buffalo wide receiver John Brown (knee) and cornerback Tre'Davious White (back) resumed light workouts after missing Tuesday's loss to Tennessee. Tight end Dawson Knox is dealing with a calf injury.

--Field Level Media

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Kansas City Chiefs

Buffalo Bills

Player Position Lineup
Frank Clark primary: Right Defensive End Starter
Eric Fisher primary: Left Tackle Starter
Mecole Hardman primary: Tight End Starter
Tyreek Hill primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Anthony Hitchens primary: Left Linebacker Starter
Chris Jones primary: Left Defensive Tackle Starter
Travis Kelce primary: Tight End Starter
Tanoh Kpassagnon primary: Left Defensive End Starter
Patrick Mahomes primary: Quarterback Starter
Tyrann Mathieu primary: Strong Safety Starter
Derrick Nnadi primary: Right Defensive Tackle Starter
Mitchell Schwartz primary: Right Tackle Starter
Daniel Sorensen primary: Cornerback Starter
Juan Thornhill primary: Free Safety Starter
Charvarius Ward primary: Left Cornerback Starter
Damien Wilson primary: Right Linebacker Starter
Andrew Wylie primary: Right Guard Starter
Mike Remmers primary: Left Guard Starter
Demarcus Robinson primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Bashaud Breeland primary: Right Cornerback Starter
Clyde Edwards-Helaire primary: Runningback Starter
Daniel Kilgore primary: Center Starter
Nick Allegretti primary: Guard Substitution
Harrison Butker primary: Kicker Substitution
Rashad Fenton primary: Cornerback Substitution
Marcus Kemp primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Ben Niemann primary: Linebacker Substitution
Dorian O'Daniel primary: Linebacker Substitution
Alex Okafor primary: Defensive End Substitution
Byron Pringle primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Austin Reiter primary: Center Substitution
Darwin Thompson primary: Runningback Substitution
Armani Watts primary: Safety Substitution
Darrel Williams primary: Runningback Substitution
James Winchester primary: Long Snapper Substitution
Deon Yelder primary: Tight End Substitution
Nick Keizer primary: Tight End Substitution
Antonio Hamilton primary: Cornerback Substitution
Mike Pennel primary: Defensive Tackle Substitution
Ricky Seals-Jones primary: Tight End Substitution
Willie Gay primary: Linebacker Substitution
Bopete Keyes primary: Cornerback Substitution
Tommy Townsend primary: Punter Substitution
Yasir Durant primary: Offensive Linesman Substitution
Tershawn Wharton primary: Defensive Tackle Substitution
Taco Charlton primary: Defensive End Substitution
Tedric Thompson primary: Safety Substitution
Darius Harris primary: Linebacker Not active
Demone Harris primary: Defensive End Not active
Sammy Watkins primary: Wide Receiver Not active
Chad Henne primary: Quarterback Did not play
DeAndre Washington primary: Runningback Not active
Le'Veon Bell primary: Runningback Not active
Player Position Lineup
Josh Allen primary: Quarterback Starter
Cole Beasley primary: Wide Receiver Starter
John Brown primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Dion Dawkins primary: Left Tackle Starter
Tremaine Edmunds primary: Left Linebacker Starter
Cody Ford primary: Left Guard Starter
Jerry Hughes primary: Left Defensive End Starter
Micah Hyde primary: Strong Safety Starter
Tyler Kroft primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Mitch Morse primary: Center Starter
Ed Oliver primary: Right Defensive Tackle Starter
Jordan Poyer primary: Free Safety Starter
Devin Singletary primary: Runningback Starter
Tre'Davious White primary: Right Cornerback Starter
Josh Norman primary: Left Cornerback Starter
Cam Lewis primary: Defensive Back Starter
Stefon Diggs primary: Wide Receiver Starter
Quinton Jefferson primary: Left Defensive Tackle Starter
Daryl Williams primary: Right Tackle Starter
A.J. Klein primary: Right Linebacker Starter
Mario Addison primary: Right Defensive End Starter
Brian Winters primary: Right Guard Starter
Ryan Bates primary: Offensive Linesman Substitution
Ike Boettger primary: Guard Substitution
Corey Bojorquez primary: Punter Substitution
Reid Ferguson primary: Long Snapper Substitution
Darryl Johnson primary: Defensive End Substitution
Jaquan Johnson primary: Safety Substitution
Taron Johnson primary: Cornerback Substitution
Siran Neal primary: Safety Substitution
Ty Nsekhe primary: Offensive Tackle Substitution
Lee Smith primary: Tight End Substitution
Tyrel Dodson primary: Linebacker Substitution
Isaiah McKenzie primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Taiwan Jones primary: Runningback Substitution
A.J. Epenesa primary: Defensive End Substitution
Zack Moss primary: Runningback Substitution
Gabriel Davis primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Tyler Bass primary: Kicker Substitution
Bryan Cox Jr. primary: Defensive End Substitution
Reggie Gilliam primary: Tight End Substitution
Vernon Butler primary: Defensive Tackle Substitution
Tyler Matakevich primary: Linebacker Substitution
Justin Zimmer primary: Defensive Tackle Substitution
Andre Roberts primary: Wide Receiver Substitution
Dean Marlowe primary: Safety Substitution
Deon Lacey primary: Linebacker Substitution
Matt Barkley primary: Quarterback Did not play
Dawson Knox primary: Tight End Not active
Matt Milano primary: Linebacker Not active
Trent Murphy primary: Defensive End Not active
Harrison Phillips primary: Defensive Tackle Not active
Quinton Spain primary: Guard Not active
T.J. Yeldon primary: Runningback Not active
Jake Fromm primary: Quarterback Not active

Kansas City Chiefs

Buffalo Bills

  • Match Start
  • Period 1
  • MIN 3
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 11 Yards
    • Conv Kicker: Harrison Butker
    • Passer: Patrick Mahomes
    • Pass Receiver: Travis Kelce
  • MIN 5
    • scoring-play
    • Field Goal
    • 48 Yards
    • FG Kicker: Tyler Bass
  • Period 2
  • MIN 4
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 12 Yards
    • Passer: Patrick Mahomes
    • Pass Receiver: Travis Kelce
    • Conv Kicker: Harrison Butker
  • MIN 11
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 4 Yards
    • Pass Receiver: Stefon Diggs
    • Conv Kicker: Tyler Bass
    • Passer: Josh Allen
  • Period 3
  • MIN 1
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Rush
    • 13 Yards
    • Rusher: Darrel Williams
    • Conv Kicker: Harrison Butker
  • Period 4
  • MIN 1
    • scoring-play
    • Field Goal
    • 30 Yards
    • FG Kicker: Harrison Butker
  • MIN 6
    • scoring-play
    • Touchdown
    • Pass
    • 8 Yards
    • Passer: Josh Allen
    • Pass Receiver: Cole Beasley
    • Conv Kicker: Tyler Bass
  • MIN 9
    • scoring-play
    • Field Goal
    • 37 Yards
    • FG Kicker: Harrison Butker
  • Match End

GAMES

Last 10

W 89% L 11%
8 1
  • @Las Vegas W 35 - 31
  • Carolina W 31 - 33
  • N.Y. Jets W 9 - 35
  • @Denver W 43 - 16
  • @Buffalo W 26 - 17
  • Las Vegas L 40 - 32
  • New England W 10 - 26
  • New England D 0 - 0
  • @Baltimore W 34 - 20
  • @L.A. Chargers W 23 - 20
W 70% L 30%
7 3
  • @Arizona L 30 - 32
  • Seattle W 34 - 44
  • New England W 21 - 24
  • @N.Y. Jets W 18 - 10
  • Kansas City L 26 - 17
  • @Tennessee L 16 - 42
  • @Las Vegas W 30 - 23
  • L.A. Rams W 32 - 35
  • @Miami W 31 - 28
  • N.Y. Jets W 17 - 27

Next Games

  • @Tampa Bay(10-14-12) L 10 - 38
  • Denver(12-15-19) W 3 - 23
  • @Miami(09-21-14) W 34 - 15
  • @New Orleans(08-09-13) L 13 - 17
  • Atlanta(09-09-12) L 40 - 24
  • L.A. Chargers(09-16-18) L 31 - 20
  • @San Francisco(10-07-12) L 3 - 45
  • Pittsburgh(12-11-16) L 27 - 20
  • @Denver(12-07-14) L 17 - 24
  • @New England(12-21-19) L 17 - 24

Last Meetings

  • Chiefs @ Bills 26-17
  • Bills @ Chiefs 16-10
  • Bills @ Chiefs 22-30
  • Chiefs @ Bills 17-13
  • Chiefs @ Bills 23-13
  • Chiefs @ Bills 17-35
  • Bills @ Chiefs 41-7
  • Bills @ Chiefs 10-13
  • Bills @ Chiefs 16-10
  • Bills @ Chiefs 54-31

American Football Conference

AFC EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Buffalo Bills73 0.7000.00.00.0 4-13-27-0-3
Miami Dolphins64 0.6001.00.00.0 3-23-26-0-4
New England Patriots46 0.4003.00.00.0 3-21-44-0-6
New York Jets010 0.0007.00.00.0 0-50-50-0-10
AFC NorthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Pittsburgh Steelers100 01.0000.00.00.0 5-05-010-0-0
Cleveland Browns73 0.7003.00.00.0 5-12-27-0-3
Baltimore Ravens64 0.6004.00.00.0 2-34-16-0-4
Cincinnati Bengals27 1.2227.50.00.0 2-20-52-1-7
AFC SouthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Tennessee Titans73 0.7000.00.00.0 4-23-17-0-3
Indianapolis Colts73 0.7000.00.00.0 4-13-27-0-3
Houston Texans37 0.3004.00.00.0 2-31-43-0-7
Jacksonville Jaguars19 0.1006.00.00.0 1-40-51-0-9
AFC WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Kansas City Chiefs91 0.9000.00.00.0 4-15-09-0-1
Las Vegas Raiders64 0.6003.00.00.0 2-34-16-0-4
Denver Broncos46 0.4005.00.00.0 2-32-34-0-6
Los Angeles Chargers37 0.3006.00.00.0 2-31-43-0-7

National Football Conference

NFC EastWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Philadelphia Eagles36 1.3330.00.00.0 2-21-43-1-6
Dallas Cowboys37 0.3000.50.00.0 2-31-43-0-7
Washington Football Team37 0.3000.50.00.0 3-30-43-0-7
New York Giants37 0.3000.50.00.0 2-31-43-0-7
NFC NorthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Green Bay Packers73 0.7000.00.00.0 3-14-27-0-3
Chicago Bears55 0.5002.00.00.0 2-33-25-0-5
Detroit Lions46 0.4003.00.00.0 1-33-34-0-6
Minnesota Vikings46 0.4003.00.00.0 1-43-24-0-6
NFC SouthWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
New Orleans Saints82 0.8000.00.00.0 5-13-18-0-2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers74 0.6361.50.00.0 3-24-27-0-3
Carolina Panthers47 0.3644.50.00.0 2-42-34-0-6
Atlanta Falcons37 0.3005.00.00.0 1-42-33-0-7
NFC WestWL DPRCGBHOMEAWAYPAST L10
Los Angeles Rams73 0.7000.00.00.0 4-03-37-0-3
Seattle Seahawks73 0.7000.00.00.0 5-02-37-0-3
Arizona Cardinals64 0.6001.00.00.0 3-23-26-0-4
San Francisco 49ers46 0.4003.00.00.0 1-43-24-0-6

Last Injuries

Buffalo Bills

  • Mitch Morse

    Concussion
    Ques Sun | questionable

    Morse has been held out of the previous three games due to a concussion, and it is unknown if he will clear protocol prior to Sunday's tilt versus the Chargers.

  • Taiwan Jones

    Hamstring
    Ques Sun | questionable

    Jones has sat out the past two games with a hamstring injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Chargers on Sunday.

  • Josh Norman

    Hamstring
    Ques Sun | questionable

    Norman has been activated from the Injured Reserve/COVID-19 list, and it is unknown if he will return to face the Chargers on Sunday.

  • Cody Ford

    Ankle
    Ques Sun | questionable

    Ford sat out the last game due to a right ankle injury, and it is undetermined if he will line up on Sunday versus the Chargers.

  • T.J. Yeldon

    Back
    Ques Sun | questionable

    Yeldon has been absent from the lineup during the last two games with a back injury, and it is uncertain if it will hinder his availability against the Chargers on Sunday.

  • Tommy Sweeney

    Heart
    Out indefinitely | I-R

    Sweeney is on the injured reserve list with myocarditis, and he will miss an extended period.

  • A.J. Epenesa

    Head
    Ques Sun | questionable

    Epenesa left the last game with a head injury, and it has yet to be established if he will take part on Sunday versus the Chargers.

  • John Brown

    Ankle
    Ques Sun | questionable

    Brown was removed from the previous game with an ankle injury, his status for Sunday's battle versus the Chargers is in question.

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Sammy Watkins

    Hamstring
    Ques Sun | questionable

    Watkins was sidelined the last game due to a right hamstring injury, and it has yet to be established if he will suit up for Sunday's contest against the Buccaneers.

  • Byron Pringle

    Ankle
    I-R | I-R

    Pringle has been placed on the injured reserve list with an ankle injury, and it is unknown whether or not he will return this season.

  • Bopete Keyes

    Illness
    Ques Sun | questionable

    Keyes was held out of the previous game due to an illness, and it is unclear if he will play Sunday versus the Buccaneers.

  • Taco Charlton

    Leg
    Out indefinitely | I-R

    Charlton will miss an extended period while on the injured reserve list due to a right lower-leg fracture.

  • Mitchell Schwartz

    Back
    Out indefinitely | I-R

    Schwartz has been placed on the injured reserve list due to a back injury. It is uncertain when he will get back in the lineup.

  • James O'Shaughnessy

    Knee
    Ques Sun | questionable

    O'Shaughnessy sat out the previous game due to a knee injury, and it is undetermined if he will dress for Sunday's tilt with the Browns.

  • Alex Okafor

    Hamstring
    Prob Sun | probable

    Okafor has been taken off the Injured Reserve/Designated for Return list after healing from a hamstring injury. He is likely to return Sunday against the Raiders.

  • Antonio Hamilton

    Hamstring
    Prob Sun | probable

    Hamilton was removed from the last game with a hamstring injury, but he is projected to play Sunday against the Raiders.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills

Rookie running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire rushed for 161 yards on 26 carries Monday as the Kansas City Chiefs toppled the Buffalo Bills 26-17 at soggy Orchard Park, N.Y.

The 100-yard game was the second for the first-round pick from LSU and came after the Chiefs (5-1) signed Le'Veon Bell following his release from the New York Jets. Bell, a two-time All-Pro running back, did not play while following COVID-19 protocol after reporting to the Chiefs last week.

The contested was played in a steady rain, prompting Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes to pick his spots in the passing game. He finished 21 of 26 for 225 yards with two touchdowns, both to tight end Travis Kelce, as the Chiefs converted 9 of 14 third downs.

Down 10-7, the Chiefs scored 16 unanswered points before quarterback Josh Allen finally triggered the Buffalo passing game. Allen went 5-for-5 on a drive he capped by hitting Cole Beasley for an 8-yard score to slice the gap to 23-17 with 6:34 left.

Kansas City, however, used four-plus minutes to put Harrison Butker in position for a game-clinching 30-yard field goal with 1:56 left. The Chiefs logged 30 second-half rushes and 46 carries overall, the most for a team coached by Andy Reid.

Allen, who came in averaging 317.8 yards passing, finished 14 of 27 for 122 yards and two touchdowns, but he had his last attempt intercepted by Daniel Sorensen. The Bills (4-2) added just 84 yards rushing while losing their second straight.

The teams traded the lead three times in the first half before Kansas City settled for a 13-10 halftime margin behind 94 yards from Edwards-Helaire.

Kelce caught touchdown passes of 11 and 12 yards to account for the Chiefs' first-half scoring. Kelce fumbled at the end of the half, and the Bills produced a quick 15-yard gain on an easy reception by Stefon Diggs, but Tyler Bass missed a 52-yard field goal as the half expired.

Bass connected on a 48-yarder to give Buffalo a 3-0 lead. Allen found Diggs for a 4-yard scoring strike after a lengthy pass interference call against the Chiefs on third-and-10 early in the second quarter.

--Field Level Media