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Game Preview: New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons
The New England Patriots look to extend their five-game win streak when they host the Atlanta Falcons at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, November 2, 2025. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM ET on CBS.
New England (6-2) has surged behind rookie quarterback Drake Maye and head coach Mike Vrabel, winning five straight to climb into the AFC playoff mix. Atlanta (3-4) has lost consecutive games and faces an uphill battle to stay relevant in the NFC South. The Patriots haven’t lost to the Falcons since 1998, a streak that spans four different decades.
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Key Storylines
- New England rides a five-game win streak and ranks fourth in scoring defense.
- Drake Maye continues to climb MVP discussions with 10 TDs and one interception over his last five games.
- Atlanta’s offense has sputtered, totaling just 213 yards in last week’s loss to Miami.
- The Patriots have dominated this matchup historically, last losing to the Falcons in 1998.
- The Falcons may get QB Michael Penix Jr. and WR Drake London back from injury.
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New England Patriots Outlook
Drake Maye’s rookie campaign continues to impress. The former North Carolina standout has transformed the Patriots’ offense into one of the AFC’s most balanced units. Maye has thrown for 282 yards or more in four of his last five starts, developing strong chemistry with wideout Kayshon Boutte, who has four touchdowns in his last three games.
Mike Vrabel’s defense has been a force, allowing just 18.3 points per game and ranking among the top five in turnovers created. The Patriots have not allowed a running back to eclipse 50 rushing yards in a game this season, the first defense to achieve that since 1950.
With complementary football and elite discipline, New England looks like a playoff-caliber team ahead of a favorable home matchup.
Patriots Injury Report
Rhamondre Stevenson (RB) – Questionable, Toe
Stefon Diggs (WR) – Questionable, Ankle
Antonio Gibson (RB) – Out, Knee
Khyiris Tonga (DT) – Questionable, Knee
Jaquelin Roy (DT) – Out, Undisclosed
Marcellas Dial Jr. (DB) – Out, ACL
Isaiah Iton (DT) – Out, Hip
Lan Larison (RB) – Out, Undisclosed
Atlanta Falcons Outlook
The Falcons are desperate for stability after back-to-back losses dropped them below .500. Injuries have slowed the offense, particularly with Michael Penix Jr. (knee) and Drake London (hip) missing last week’s blowout loss to Miami.
Running back Bijan Robinson remains the focal point of the attack, though opposing defenses have keyed in on him. After rushing for 170 yards in a win over Buffalo, Robinson has managed just 65 yards in his last two games combined. Atlanta’s offensive line must reestablish physicality to give him room to operate.
On defense, the Falcons will rely on pass rushers like Zach Harrison and interior stalwart Grady Jarrett to pressure Maye and limit explosive plays. However, facing a Patriots offense averaging over 27 points per game during its win streak, that will be no small task.
Falcons Injury Report
Storm Norton (OL) – Questionable, Foot
Jessie Bates III (S) – Questionable, Ankle
Kaleb McGary (OT) – Out, Leg
Drake London (WR) – Questionable, Hip
Michael Penix Jr. (QB) – Questionable, Knee
Zach Harrison (DL) – Questionable, Knee
Troy Andersen (LB) – Out, Knee
Clark Phillips III (CB) – Out, Triceps
Betting Trends
- Patriots are 5-0 straight up and against the spread in their last five games.
- Patriots are 4-0 ATS as favorites in their last four regular-season contests.
- Falcons are 2-1 straight up as underdogs in their last three games.
- Falcons are 4-2 ATS after a loss in their last six contests.
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Prediction
The Patriots’ combination of defensive discipline and quarterback efficiency makes them difficult to bet against at home. Atlanta’s injuries and offensive inconsistency should give New England multiple short-field scoring chances.
Projected Score: Patriots 27, Falcons 20
Best Bet: Patriots -6.0 (-110)
Total Lean: Over 45.0 (-110)
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